Proceeding of the Institute for Systems Analysis of the Russian Academy of Science
Scientific journal "Trudy Instituta sistemnogo analiza Rossiyskoy akademii nauk (ISA RAN)"publishes materials on a wide range of fundamental problems of developing sistems analysis methodology and its applying to solving various problems in the field of science and practice. The journal is destinet for scientists and researches working within the framework of these problems, as well as for politicians, employees of state and minicipal depaptments, specialists of enterprises and representatives of social organizations. The rules for articles submission to the journal, as well as for their rewief are given at the journal" s site
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Current Issue
Vol 74, No 2 (2024)
Dynamical Systems
Numerical solution of the boundary value problem for the heat equation with a fractional Caputo derivative
Abstract
In a rectangular domain, a nonlocal boundary value problem is studied for the heat equation with a fractional Caputo derivative with variable coefficients. An a priori estimate in differential form is obtained by the method of energy inequalities. A difference scheme is constructed that approximates the boundary value problem with the first order. An analog of the a priori estimate in difference form is obtained. The obtained a priori estimates imply the uniqueness and stability of the solution with respect to the initial data and the right- hand side. The convergence of the difference scheme to the solution of the original problem is proved.



On the chaotic dynamics in one variant of the diffusive predator-prey systems
Abstract
In this paper we are considering the generalization of the predator-prey model of the Lotka-Volterra type to the diffusion. The model is different from precious known diffusive Lora-Voterra systems by more complex non-linearity that corresponds to more aggressive interaction between species. This type of systems can be characterized as reaction-diffusion type of systems. In the present research we analyze the base stationary solution, its bifurcations end explore the transition to chaos by means of numerical investigation. It was detected that the series of bifurcation lead to the known cascades of bifurcations over limited cycles that coincide with the ones in Feigenbaum–Sharkovskii–Magnitskii theory. Finally, we summarize the current study and give the future work.



On hidden attractors of nonlinear systems of differential equations with an infinite number of singular points
Abstract
The work carries out an analytical and numerical analysis of the bifurcations of cycles of two systems of equations, which, according to the authors of the systems, contain both an infinite number of unstable singular points and “hidden” chaotic attractors. It is shown that the transition to chaos in systems occurs, as in any other nonlinear chaotic systems of differential equations, in accordance with the universal bifurcation scenario of Feigenbaum-Sharkovsky-Magnitskii. In this case, due to the absence of homoclinic and heteroclinic separatrix contours, incomplete FShM bifurcation cascades are realized in the systems, ending with a complete subharmonic cascade and an incomplete homoclinic cascade of bifurcations. It has been proven that in both systems the so-called “hidden” attractors are in fact complex singular attractors of systems in the sense of the FShM theory.



Text Mining
Corpus analysis methods for study of texts of prose literary works by various authors
Abstract
This article is devoted to the application of corpora analysis mathematical methods for the research of Russian fiction texts. A corpus of prose texts of Russian XIX century fiction, consisting of five subcorpora, has been created for the research. Each subcorpora contains texts of one certain author. Using the example of the created corpora, the possibilities of using the correspondence analysis method integrated into the TXM platform as one of the tools of the statistical research method are demonstrated. As another method, we consider the analysis of pairwise rank correlation coefficients to compare the frequency characteristics of texts of different subcorps. The methods described give correlated results and make it possible to identify differentiating features. The methods described give correlated results and make it possible to identify differentiating features. The described method can be used both for linguistic and literary studies and for creating appropriate training text sets for artificial intelligence tasks.



Methods and Models of Systems Analysis
Issues of system analysis of passive remote sensing of atmospheric gases
Abstract
The issues of system analysis and synthesis of passive remote sensing systems for atmospheric gases are considered. The possibility of applying the solution of the Euler problem in the field of calculus of variations to optimize passive remote sensing of atmospheric gases is considered. The objective functional, called the Euler-Booger functional, is compiled and the optimization conditions for three atmospheric gas measurement modes are analyzed: (a) without a derivative spectrum; (b) with a basic and derivative spectrum; (c) using the derived spectrum only. Equations are obtained for the formation of an optimal relationship between the optical thickness of the atmosphere and the extra-atmospheric solar radiation flux at which the target functional called the Euler-Booger functional reaches a maximum.



Risk-Management and Security
Wholesale food market as a socially significant investment project
Abstract
The article is devoted to substantiating the need for state financing of projects to create wholesale food markets, which are considered as socially significant investment projects. The fact of the manifestation of the main effect of creating a market outside the framework of the project and the commercial inefficiency of the latter are noted and analyzed in detail. The main types of external effects from the creation of a wholesale food market are considered. As an additional argument in favor of the need for state financing for the development of wholesale food markets, historical data on unsuccessful attempts to develop this type of logistics infrastructure in the Russian Federation and, in particular, in Moscow, since the 90s of the last century are presented.



Conceptual foundations of Russia’s civilizational security: socio-political aspect
Abstract
In the context of the current Russia-West confrontation, an analysis is carried out and an attempt is made to predict the logic of the development of global processes from the standpoint of philosophy, sociology, political science, psychology, aimed at a single common result – the safe civilizational development of Russia, taking into account the following fundamental spiritual and moral grounds: the basis of the Eurasian model of civilizational development of Russia is a person whose personal qualities allow to ensure his self-realization and self-actualization in order to ensure the protection of his spiritual, moral and cultural values. It is shown that the main task of ensuring the civilizational security of Russia is to ensure the protection of the Russian population, its spiritual, moral and cultural values from possible sabotage by a potential enemy, political, ideological and psychological in nature, the development of education of the younger generation, the development of a highly moral personality sharing Russian traditional spiritual and moral values in modern society. The causes of the Russia-West confrontation, the main challenges and threats to Russia’s civilizational security from the United States and NATO, methodological approaches, principles and directions for ensuring the civilizational security of the Russian Federation are revealed.



Principles of applied multi-agent system engineering for resilience management of critical infrastructures
Abstract
The work is aimed at development of information technologies for intelligent decision-making support in the field of organizational management of the regional critical infrastructures resilience. This is urgent to enhance the efficiency of systems for ensuring the security and stability of these infrastructures under the influence of heterogeneous situational factors. The study is based on systematization, analysis and generalization of well-known methodological approaches to ensuring the reliability, security and resilience of complex dynamic entities, as well as methods of general system theory, principles of network-centric control and multi-agent modeling concepts. A general classification of analysis and simulation methods and techniques used in practice to management support of the critical infrastructures resilience is given. The crucial need for applying the multi-agent systems paradigm to management support of the critical infrastructures resilience is substantiated. For this purpose, the field-of-use advantages and potential restrictions of applying a multi-agent approach in management problems of critical infrastructures resilience are determined. Design principles of applied multi-agent decision support systems for overall resilience management of critical infrastructures, based on the conjugation of generic methodology for multi-agent systems engineering and technical approaches to organizing integrated security systems for critical facilities protection, have been proposed.



System analysis in medicine and biology
Life expectancy as an indicator of the quality of government
Abstract
The paper analyzes the possibilities of using the life expectancy (LE) as an indicator of the macroeconomic and psychological situation in the country, as well as an indicator of the quality of government. The analysis was carried out based on the data of LE changes in Russia in the 20th and 21st centuries. A comparison was made with similar data for Sweden. It is shown that the LE reflects these characteristics very quickly and sensitively and can be used to evaluate them.



Analysis of staffing in production industries on example of Orenburg region annotation
Abstract
The level of industrial development in Russia in the epoch of transition from export and raw materials economic model to the innovation one depends directly on staffing. However, Russian production industries often experience staff hunger, especially in the regions with unfavorable demographic situation. In the article the author considers Orenburg region as an example. The reasons for staff deficit are analyzed by comparing statistical and evaluation information on demographic situation and migration flows of working-age population, directions of training in education institutes and needs of production industries of the region. On the base of this analysis suggestions on staff recruitment and training for the regional industry are made.



Individual issues of implementing a digital citizen profile
Abstract
The article considers some problems of the content and essential elements of a citizen’s digital profile. The introduction of a digital citizen profile, also known as digital identification or electronic passport, is of interest to Russia as a potential means of improving public services, increasing security and simplifying bureaucratic procedures. In the article, the authors present some features and directions of the implementation of the digital profile of a citizen in Russia and arguments in favor of its implementation, as well as potential risks associated with its implementation. The authors reveal the specifics of how the digital profile of a citizen is integrated with existing digital systems in Russia, from a digital and legal point of view, as well as identify individual directions and components of this process.


