Using Mixture Distributions for the Analysis and Estimation of Ultra-Low Risks in the Problems of Ensuring the Safety of Automatic Aircraft Landing

Abstract

The paper reviews the results of assessing the ultra-low risks based on empirical functions of the probability distribution of the automatic aircraft landing accuracy, approximated by a mixture of distributions. Based on the outcomes obtained, the resultant approach can be recommended for resolving a wide range of problems of the validation of safety requirements including the case to create the evidential base in certification of automatic landing.