Using Mixture Distributions for the Analysis and Estimation of Ultra-Low Risks in the Problems of Ensuring the Safety of Automatic Aircraft Landing


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The paper reviews the results of assessing the ultra-low risks based on empirical functions of the probability distribution of the automatic aircraft landing accuracy, approximated by a mixture of distributions. Based on the outcomes obtained, the resultant approach can be recommended for resolving a wide range of problems of the validation of safety requirements including the case to create the evidential base in certification of automatic landing.

作者简介

L. Aleksandrovskaya

Moscow Aviation Institute

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Email: kirillinav@mati.ru
俄罗斯联邦, Volokolamskoe sh. 4, Moscow, 125993

O. Kerber

Moscow Institute of Electromechanics and Automatics (MIEA)

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俄罗斯联邦, Aviatsionnyi pereulok, Moscow, 125319

P. Iosifov

Moscow Aviation Institute

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俄罗斯联邦, Volokolamskoe sh. 4, Moscow, 125993

G. Pankina

Higher School of Economics

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俄罗斯联邦, ul. Myasnitskaya 20, Moscow, 101000

B. Boitsov

Moscow Aviation Institute

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俄罗斯联邦, Volokolamskoe sh. 4, Moscow, 125993


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