The Biden administration nuclear posture review: a new vision?

Cover Page

Cite item

Full Text

Open Access Open Access
Restricted Access Access granted
Restricted Access Subscription Access

Abstract

The article is devoted to a comparative analysis of US doctrinal documents - the Nuclear Posture Reviews of 2018 and 2022. The authors set themselves the objective of determining whether the nuclear threshold has decreased/increased during the Biden administration. Analysis of the corresponding sections of documents leads to the conclusion about continuity between the Reviews. This concerns issues of nuclear modernization, the “tailored deterrence” strategy, and regional aspects of the US nuclear deterrence. The section of the 2022 document devoted to arms control sounds relatively new, however, foreign policy landscape and virtual collapse of the modern arms control architecture do not allow the authors of the doctrine to be optimistic in this matter .

About the authors

Oleg O. Krivolapov

Georgy Arbatov Institute for U.S. and Canada Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: o.krivolapov@iskran.ru
Москва, Российская Федерация

Nataliya V. Stepanova

Georgy Arbatov Institute for U.S. and Canada Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: n.stepanova@iskran.ru
Москва, Российская Федерация

References

  1. Арбатов А.Г. Трансформация ядерного сдерживания. Мировая экономика и международные отношения. 2018. № 7. С. 5-16.
  2. Бужинский Е.П., Веселов В.А. Ядерная политика США в XXI веке: преемственность и различия в подходах администраций Дж. Буша-мл., Б. Обамы и Д. Трампа. Вестник Московского Университета. Серия XXV. Международные отношения и мировая политика. 2018, № 3. С. 3-47.
  3. Кузнецов В.С., Степанова Н.В. Политика России и США в области ядерных вооружений на современном этапе. Россия и Америка в XXI веке, 2019, № 4. Available at: https://rusus.jes.su/s207054760008175-9-1/(accessed 25.09.2023).
  4. Стефанович Д.В. Обзор ядерной политики и противоракетной обороны Джо Байдена и его команды. Россия в глобальной политике. 13.12.2022. Available at: https://globalaffairs.ru/articles/obzor-yadernoj-politiki/(accessed 01.03.2023).
  5. Тебин П.Ю. Наша священная оборона - их варварская агрессия. Россия в глобальной политике. 2023. № 1. С. 99-116.
  6. Acton, J. Escalation through Entanglement.International Security. 2018. No. 1. P. 56-99
  7. Kimball, D. Biden's Disappointing Nuclear Posture Review. Arms Control Today, December 2022. Available at: https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2022-12/focus/bidens-disappointing-nuclear-posture-review (accessed 20.01.2023).
  8. Kroenig, M. Arms Racing Under Nuclear Tripolarity: Evidence for an Action-Reaction Cycle? The Atlantic Council Issue Brief, December 2022. Available at: https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/Arms-Racing-Under-Nuclear-Tripolarity-Evidence-for-an-Action-Reaction-Cycle.pdf (accessed 15.09.2023).
  9. Expert Commentary on the 2022 Nuclear Posture Review. National Institute for Public Policy Occasional Paper, vol. 3, no. 3, March 2023. Available at: https://nipp.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/OP-Vol.-3-No.-3.pdf (accessed 02.06.2023).
  10. Hersmann, R. Nuclear Posture Review: The More Things Change, The More They Stay the Same. Center for Strategic & International Studies, 06.02.2018. Available at: https://www.csis.org/analysis/nuclear-posture-review-more-things-change-more-they-stay-same (accessed 02.09.2023).
  11. Horovitz, L., Schneider, J. The Biden administration's official strategy on nuclear arms control: Just first steps, or the whole story? Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, 13.06.2023. Available at: https://www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/the-biden-administrations-official-strategy-on-nuclear-arms-control-just-first-steps-or-the-whole-story (accessed 30.06.2023).
  12. Panda, A., Narang, V. Sole Purpose is not No First Use: Nuclear Weapons and Declaratory Policy. War on the Rocks, 22.02.2021. Available at: https://warontherocks.com/2021/02/sole-purpose-is-not-no-first-use-nuclear-weapons-and-declaratory-policy/(accessed 01.10.2023)
  13. Reif, K. Trump Seeks Expanded Nuclear Capabilities. Arms Control Today, March 2018. Available at: https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2018-03/news/trump-seeks-expanded-nuclear-capabilities (accessed 20.09.2023).
  14. Rose, F. Is the 2018 Nuclear Posture Review as Bad as the Critics Claim It Is. Brookings Institution Policy Brief, April 2018. P. 3. Available at: https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/fp_20180413_2018_nuclear_posture_review.pdf (accessed 02.10.2023).
  15. Rusten, L. The Trump Administration's ‘Wrong Track' Nuclear Policies. Arms Control Today, March 2018. Available at: https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2018-03/features/trump-administrations-wrong-track-nuclear-policies (accessed 20.09.2023).
  16. Sands, T., Mihalik, R., Camacho, H. Theoretical Context of the Nuclear Posture Review. Journal of Social Sciences. 2018. P. 124-128.

Copyright (c) 2023 Russian Academy of Sciences

This website uses cookies

You consent to our cookies if you continue to use our website.

About Cookies