Risk factors for development of type 2 diabetes mellitus in patients with obesity in late post-COVID period

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Abstract

Objective. To study the risk factors for developing type 2 diabetes mellitus in patients with obesity after COVID-19.

Materials and methods. 61 case histories and outpatient card abstracts of patients with obesity, who suffered from moderate and severe forms of COVID-19 from 02.2021–04.2022 were analyzed. Demographic, laboratory and clinical parameters were studied during hospitalization and 12 months after discharge from the hospital. All patients initially were divided into 2 groups according to the glycated hemoglobin level. Group 1 consisted of 46 patients with prediabetes and group 2 included 15 patients without carbohydrate disorders.

Results. The median age of all patients was 64 (59–66) years. Median of HbAlc was 6,0 (5,6–6,2) %, BMI –34 (33–35) kg/m2. 24 patients from group 1, who took DPP-4-inhibitors in early post-COVID-19 period constituted subgroup 1A and 22 patients, who refused treatment with these drugs, constituted subgroup 1B. Currently, 2 patients from subgroup 1A and 10 patients from subgroup 1B (χ2=8,2 р=0,004) have been diagnosed with DM2. In patients who developed DM2 in late post-COVID period the levels of HbAlc, fasting plasms glucose and BMI at the time of admission to the hospital were significantly higher (n=12) than in patients with persistent prediabetes (n=34), (p<0,05). Positive correlation between these parameters and the risk of developing DM2 (R=0,5, p<0,05; R=0,74, p<0,05; R=0,54, p<0,05, respectively) was determined. In group 2, DM2 is currently diagnosed in 2 male patients with BMI over 40 kg/m2. When comparing subgroup 1B and group 2, it was found out that DM2 in the post-COVID period occurs in every second patient with the previous initial carbohydrate disorders: in 10 people of 22 – in subgroup 1B (every 2nd patient) versus 2 patients from group 2 (every 7th patient), (χ2=4,2, p=0,04). Online calculator from medstatistic. ru was used to determine relative risk (RR).

Conclusions. Thus, presence of impaired glucose tolerance increases the risk of development of DM2 in late post-COVID period. In patients with hyperlycemia on hospitalization for COVID-19, who did not receive incretin therapy (subgroup 1B) risk of DM2 was 3,4 times higher (CI 95 %=0,87–13,40). Patients, who received incretin (subgroup 1A) had risk of DM2 = 0,6 (CI 95 %=0,09–3,97). It should be assumed that incretin therapy prevents development of DM2 in patients with hyperglycemia/impaired glucose tolerance after COVID-19.

About the authors

E. V. Yuzhakova

E.A. Vagner Perm State Medical University

Author for correspondence.
Email: uzkaty@mail.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5262-9378

Candidate of Medical Sciences, Associate Professor of the Department of Endocrinology and Clinical Pharmacology

Russian Federation, Perm

Z. G. Shanko

E.A. Vagner Perm State Medical University

Email: uzkaty@mail.ru
ORCID iD: 0009-0003-7873-0505

Candidate of Medical Sciences, Assistant of the Department of Endocrinology and Clinical Pharmacology

Russian Federation, Perm

E. N. Smirnova

E.A. Vagner Perm State Medical University

Email: uzkaty@mail.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2727-5226

MD, PhD, Professor, Head of the Department of Endocrinology and Clinical Pharmacology

Russian Federation, Perm

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Supplementary files

Supplementary Files
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1. JATS XML
2. Fig.1. HbAlc values during hospitalization in patients with currently diagnosed T2DM and persistent prediabetes

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3. Fig.2. Peak plasma glucose values during hospitalization in patients with currently diagnosed T2DM and ongoing prediabetes

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4. Fig.3. BMI values during hospitalization in patients with currently diagnosed T2DM and persistent prediabetes

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