Ашық рұқсат
Рұқсат берілді
Тек жазылушылар үшін
№ 5 (2025)
80th Anniversary of the Victory
After the Victory: The USA and the USSR in 1945
Аннотация
Following the defeat of Nazi Germany, the USA and the USSR stood at a historic crossroads facing a choice between a continuation of wartime cooperation and a new rivalry in competing for filling power vacuums in Europe, East Asia and the Middle East, created by the defeat of the Axis powers. The USA, with its preponderant resources and enhanced global position, had greater freedom of action than the USSR. But a diminishing interest in Soviet cooperation, the globalization of security requirements and a change of guard at the White House all led to a new course of global dominance, in which the Soviet Union became a main obstacle. Soviet postwar security desiderata were much more limited and yet more imperative than the American ones; ultimately, they proved to be incompatible with the new US posture. The new great power rivalry did not result in a major war, mainly because of the demonstration effect of the Great Victory, which revealed the huge military might and mobilization potential of the Soviet Union.
USA & Canada: economics, politics, culture. 2025;(5):5-21
5-21
Global Security
Analysis of the North Korean-American Crisis of 2017–2018 from the Perspective of Deterrence Theory
Аннотация
The purpose of this article is to analyze the rise and fall of the US–DPRK crisis in 2017–2018 following North Korea’s successful nuclear test and the launch of the Hwasong-15 heavy missile, which analysts believed could reach any location within the United States. The urgency of this issue has increased with the return to power of a new Trump administration and the signing of the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Agreement between the DPRK and the Russian Federation. The author analyzes the reasons behind the unsuccessful attempts by the US to halt the DPRK's nuclear and missile programs, using deterrence theory as the analytical framework. A key component of this theory is the assumption of enemy's rationality, specifically, the American interpretation of rational behavior. The North Korean leadership's insensitivity to American threats and the apparent irrationality of its own retaliatory rhetoric led the United States to conclude that a preemptive strike would yield no clear benefits and would entail significant potential costs. In this case, reliable deterrence becomes unattainable, as the credibility of the North Korean threat cannot be accurately assessed.
USA & Canada: economics, politics, culture. 2025;(5):22-36
22-36
Media and Society
Media Reaction to the Black Lives Matter Protests in 2020
Аннотация
This article is devoted to the Black Lives Matter protest movement and its representation in high-quality American media of varying degrees of political orientation. The article examines the period from May 25 (the murder of George Floyd) to September 30, 2020, i.e., the period of the greatest protest activity. The paper identifies the specifics of publication activity on the topic of Black Lives Meter on news portals and websites (The Oregonian, The Seattle Times, The New York Times, The Boston Globe, New York Post, NewsNation). With the help of content analysis of media publications, patterns and differences in the coverage of BLM protests are established depending on the political preferences of the editorial offices, as well as on the city in which the source of the publication is based. The most common types of publications are identified, and a chronology of key events is established.
USA & Canada: economics, politics, culture. 2025;(5):37-54
37-54
History
U.S.-Turkish Relations in the Context of the 1979 Iranian Events
Аннотация
The article deals with the U.S.-Turkish relations during the 1979 crisis year for the entire Middle Eastern subsystem of international relations. The author examines the Carter administration's Middle East plans with a focus on the Turkish factor, and Ankara's position in the context of the Iranian events (the victory of the Islamic Revolution in February and the crisis in U.S. - Iranian relations after the November 4 hostage takeover), as well as bilateral negotiations on the SENTO military-political bloc and the Kurdish question.
USA & Canada: economics, politics, culture. 2025;(5):55-69
55-69
Economics
Food Security as a Focus of the Arctic Strategies of North American Countries
Аннотация
After the beginning of Russian special military operation in Ukraine in 2022, the Arctic strategies of the North American countries underwent significant changes. These changes aim to strengthen the military presence in the region and turn the Arctic into a confrontation zone with Russia and China. An analysis of the Arctic strategies of the USA and Greenland shows that food security issues are not given sufficient attention in these plans. This could lead to potential problems in the future, as ensuring the food security of the populations living in the Arctic territories of these countries is essential. A more balanced approach is observed in Canada's strategic documents.
USA & Canada: economics, politics, culture. 2025;(5):70-83
70-83
The United States as a Source and Recipient of Financial Contagion
Аннотация
The article analyzes the role of the U.S. in the spread of economic crises in the context of applying the methodology of financial contagion. This concept makes it possible to explain the mechanisms of transmission of negative shocks from one country to another through various channel and to assess the intensity of the spread of crises. A variety of techniques and methods for detecting financial contagion, as well as the experience of their use in empirical studies related to the U.S., is presented. The article presents the results of the author's study, in which the U.S. was considered a subject of financial contagion during different periods. The study was carried out using an extensive statistical base, econometric models, and specialized tests for contagion. Numerous instances of financial contagion were recorded, with U.S. economy as the source. Shocks from the U.S. were transmitted through financial and trade channels to countries located in various geographical regions. At the same time, the U.S. itself became a recipient of financial contagion during the COVID-19 pandemic and the 2022 energy crisis. During the energy crisis, quantitative estimates of the intensity of sectoral contagion in the U.S. economy were also obtained. The most susceptible to high volatility in gas prices were the raw materials sector and industry.
USA & Canada: economics, politics, culture. 2025;(5):84-95
84-95
Foreign Policy
Washington's Policy in the South Caucasus Region: Continuity of Course
Аннотация
The article examines the evolution of Washington's policy in the South Caucasus. It analyzes the current situation in each of the three South Caucasian countries – Georgia, Azerbaijan, and Armenia – taking into account their desire to pursue national policy and sovereign development in a multipolar world. The reasons for the intensification of American policy in the region, as well as the pros and cons along the way to its implementation, are identified. At the same time, U.S. policy towards the South Caucasus, despite a number of existing disagreements, will maintain its continuity due to the geographical and geopolitical significance of the region. This goes strongly in line with the policy of the new Trump administration, for which business is above all else.
USA & Canada: economics, politics, culture. 2025;(5):96-112
96-112
Reader’s Deliberations
The United States Seeks a Formula to End the Conflict in Ukraine
Аннотация
The article analyzes the various approaches proposed by American experts for resolving the military conflict in Ukraine and assesses their potential impact on the policy of the Trump administration. The author thoroughly examines the positions of prominent U.S. analysts such as Michael McFaul, Richard Haass, and Samuel Charap, highlighting significant differences in their suggested pathways to ending the conflict. McFaul advocates territorial concessions by Ukraine in exchange for immediate NATO membership. Conversely, Haass and Charap offer more moderate and realistic scenarios, proposing a phased ceasefire, international mediation, and security guarantees without formal recognition of territorial losses. The complexity of implementing these approaches is emphasized due to deep-rooted disagreements among conflicting parties and varying opinions within the Western alliance regarding Ukraine's NATO membership prospects and the nature of assistance to Kiev. The author concludes that the Trump administration is beginning to formulate its own distinct conflict resolution strategy, differing from both its predecessors and the expert proposals. The article underscores the necessity of restoring U.S.– Russia dialogue as an essential step toward achieving a sustainable peace.
USA & Canada: economics, politics, culture. 2025;(5):113-122
113-122
Articles
GOSUDARSTVENNYY AKADEMIChESKIY UNIVERSITET GUMANITARNYKh NAUK
USA & Canada: economics, politics, culture. 2025;(5):123-124
123-124
INSTITUT SOEDINENNYKh ShTATOV AMERIKI I KANADY IMENI AKADEMIKA G.A. ARBATOVA
USA & Canada: economics, politics, culture. 2025;(5):125-126
125-126
Informatsiya dlya avtorov
USA & Canada: economics, politics, culture. 2025;(5):127-128
127-128