Forecasting the level of biological risks of the emergence and spread of infectious and parasitic potato diseases

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The article discusses the issues of determining the level of occurrence biological risks, as well as the spread of infectious and parasitic diseases of potato according to the parameters of the transmission mechanisms and routes. Most pathogens are characterized by a high (26.1%) and very high (43.5%) level of risk. It has been established that in the latter group, 75% of infectious and parasitic diseases of potato have a mycotic etiology, 15 – helminthic, 10% – bacterial. There are no pathogens of infectious and parasitic potato diseases of viral etiology in this group. The average score for the very high-risk group is 10.8. In the low-risk group the most of potato diseases pathogens have a bacterial etiology (80%), medium – bacterial (44.5%) and mycotic (33.3%), high – viral (66.6%).

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作者简介

A. Sibirev

FGBNU “Federal Scientific Agroengineering Center VIM”

编辑信件的主要联系方式.
Email: sibirev2011@yandex.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9442-2276

Grand PhD in Engineering Sciences

俄罗斯联邦, Moscow

A. Aksenov

FGBNU “Federal Scientific Agroengineering Center VIM”

Email: sibirev2011@yandex.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9546-7695

Grand PhD in Engineering Sciences

俄罗斯联邦, Moscow

V. Teterin

FGBNU “Federal Scientific Agroengineering Center VIM”

Email: sibirev2011@yandex.ru

PhD in Engineering Sciences, Senior Researcher

俄罗斯联邦, Moscow

N. Sazonov

FGBNU “Federal Scientific Agroengineering Center VIM”

Email: sibirev2011@yandex.ru

PhD in Engineering Sciences

俄罗斯联邦, Moscow

M. Mosyakov

FGBNU “Federal Scientific Agroengineering Center VIM”

Email: sibirev2011@yandex.ru

PhD in Engineering Sciences

俄罗斯联邦, Moscow

M. Trunov

FGBNU “Federal Scientific Agroengineering Center VIM”

Email: sibirev2011@yandex.ru

PhD Student

俄罗斯联邦, Moscow

M. Godyaeva

FGBNU “Federal Scientific Agroengineering Center VIM”

Email: sibirev2011@yandex.ru

PhD Student

俄罗斯联邦, Moscow

参考

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2. Fig. 1. Mechanisms and pathways of transmission of biological risk factors for the emergence and spread of infectious and parasitic diseases of potatoes

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3. Fig. 2. Structure of share distribution of the main infection reservoirs characteristic for pathogens of infectious and parasitic diseases of potatoes

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4. Fig. 3. Distribution of the level of biological risk by parameters of mechanisms and routes of transmission for pathogens of bacterial etiology

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