Methods for Analyzing the Impact of Transformational Processes on the Right to Develop the Socioeconomic System in the Context of Digitalization: Scenario Approach (Problem Statement)

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Abstract

The article discusses methodological problems behind increasing the efficient transformation of law in a developed information society and assessing their impact on the processes of socioeconomic development of the state and society. Methods and technologies of analysis and management of the development of complex socioeconomic systems are considered. To solve methodological and practical problems of increasing the efficiency of legislative regulation in the context of digitalization, it is proposed to use the scenario analysis methodology, which provides an opportunity for intellectual support and assessment of the quality of preparation and implementation of decisions in the field of legislative activity. The approach proposed for solving the problems under consideration is based on advanced scenario analysis and modeling of the development processes of situations in the political-legal, sociopolitical, socioeconomind innovation-technological spheres. This will allow us to work out alternative options for the development of the law enforcement situation, for which, in general, information is incomplete and there is a high level of uncertainty in its development. The authors have formulated promising directions for future theoretical and applied research within the framework of the development of the methodology of scenario analysis of social and economic reality, as regulated by the rules of law.

About the authors

Vladimir L. Shults

Center for the Study of Security Problems of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: lbogat@mail.ru

doctor of philosophy, corresponding member of the Russian Academy of Sciences, honored scientist of the Russian Federation, Laureate of the Prize of the Government of the Russian Federation in Education, scientific director

Russian Federation, Moscow

Vladimir V. Kulba

Institute of Management Problems named after V.A. Trapeznikova of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: lbogat@mail.ru

doctor of technical sciences, professor, honored scientist of the Russian Federation, chief researcher

Russian Federation, Moscow

Aleksey B. Shelkov

Institute of Management Problems named after V.A. Trapeznikova of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: lbogat@mail.ru

PhD, leading researcher

Russian Federation, Moscow

Igor V. Chernov

Institute of Management Problems named after V.A. Trapeznikova of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: lbogat@mail.ru

candidate of technical sciences, head of the laboratory

Russian Federation, Moscow

Andrey A. Timoshenko

University of the Prosecutor's Office of the Russian Federation

Author for correspondence.
Email: lbogat@mail.ru

PhD in law, associate professor, professor

Russian Federation, Moscow

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Supplementary files

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2. Fig. 1. Basic functional units of a scenario modeling a software-analytical complex

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3. Fig. 2. Extended functional structure of a scenario modeling software-analytical complex (model formation process)

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4. Fig. 3. Extended functional structure of a scenario modeling software-analytical complex (modeling process)

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Copyright (c) 2021 Shults V.L., Kulba V.V., Shelkov A.B., Chernov I.V., Timoshenko A.A.

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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

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