Macroeconomic models of forecasting development of economy of Far Eastern Federal District and its regions

Construction of macromodels of Far Eastern Federal District and its three regions and forecasting development of their economies with using these macromodels are described in the article. Results of that forecasting for the period until 2033 year by two scenarios, worked out formerly for forecasting economic dynamics of Russia, are presented. Each of these scenarios is characterized by values of world prices of Urals oil and natural gas and reference price of gold for 2021-2033 years. For each region (including federal district) the preferable scenario for development of its economy is determined. For one of scenarios the region with most dynamically developing economy is determined. Forecasting economic dynamics of indicators by structure of volume of shipped production (works, services), which did not go into macromodels, is considered also.

forecasting development of economy, region, macromodel, models of variables, endogenous and exogenous variables, scenario, solving problem of forecasting, dynamics of an indicator