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A predictive model of economic dynamics during stagflation taking into account the volatility of the national currency


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Abstract

This paper considers the mathematical model of economic dynamics under the conditions of stagflation, which was previously developed by the authors and is now generalized for the case of the volatility of the national currency due to the volatility of oil prices. The model is used for the medium-term forecast of economic development in Russia up to 2020.

About the authors

A. A. Akaev

Institute of Mathematical Studies of Complex Systems

Email: nabi926@mail.ru
Russian Federation, Moscow

N. S. Ziyadullaev

Institute of Market Problems

Author for correspondence.
Email: nabi926@mail.ru
Russian Federation, Moscow

A. I. Sarygulov

St. Petersburg State University of Architecture and Civil Engineering

Email: nabi926@mail.ru
Russian Federation, St. Petersburg

V. N. Sokolov

St. Petersburg State Engineering and Economic University

Email: nabi926@mail.ru
Russian Federation, St. Petersburg

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