A predictive model of economic dynamics during stagflation taking into account the volatility of the national currency

A. A. Akaev; N. S. Ziyadullaev; A. I. Sarygulov; V. N. Sokolov

doi:10.1134/S1075700717030029

A predictive model of economic dynamics during stagflation taking into account the volatility of the national currency

Авторлар: Akaev A.A.¹, Ziyadullaev N.S.², Sarygulov A.I.³, Sokolov V.N.⁴
Мекемелер:
1. Institute of Mathematical Studies of Complex Systems
2. Institute of Market Problems
3. St. Petersburg State University of Architecture and Civil Engineering
4. St. Petersburg State Engineering and Economic University
Шығарылым: Том 28, № 3 (2017)
Беттер: 266-270
Бөлім: Financial Problems
URL: https://journals.rcsi.science/1075-7007/article/view/213825
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S1075700717030029
ID: 213825

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Аннотация

This paper considers the mathematical model of economic dynamics under the conditions of stagflation, which was previously developed by the authors and is now generalized for the case of the volatility of the national currency due to the volatility of oil prices. The model is used for the medium-term forecast of economic development in Russia up to 2020.