电邮这篇文章 Forecast of Polar Stratospheric Vortex Dynamics Using the SL-AV Global Atmosphere Model
- 作者: Shashkin V.1,2,3
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隶属关系:
- Institute of Numerical Mathematics
- Hydrometeorological Research Center of the Russian Federation
- Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology (State University)
- 期: 卷 43, 编号 3 (2018)
- 页面: 188-191
- 栏目: The Winners of the Conference of Young Scientists
- URL: https://journals.rcsi.science/1068-3739/article/view/230841
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.3103/S106837391803007X
- ID: 230841
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详细
The quality of Arctic winter stratospheric dynamics forecast using the SL-AV atmospheric global circulation model is studied. The series of numerical experiments show that forecasts with the lead time up to 7 days are successful. Zonal wind reversal during minor sudden stratospheric warmings is predicted 10–11 days ahead. Overall, the situations of strong polar jet disturbances are beneficial for the forecast accuracy.
作者简介
V. Shashkin
Institute of Numerical Mathematics; Hydrometeorological Research Center of the Russian Federation; Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology (State University)
编辑信件的主要联系方式.
Email: vvshashkin@gmail.com
俄罗斯联邦, ul. Gubkina 8, Moscow, 119333; Bolshoi Predtechenskii per. 11–13, Moscow, 123242; Institutskiy per. 9, Dolgoprudny, 141701
