Мақаланы E-mail арқылы жіберу Forecast of Polar Stratospheric Vortex Dynamics Using the SL-AV Global Atmosphere Model
- Авторлар: Shashkin V.1,2,3
-
Мекемелер:
- Institute of Numerical Mathematics
- Hydrometeorological Research Center of the Russian Federation
- Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology (State University)
- Шығарылым: Том 43, № 3 (2018)
- Беттер: 188-191
- Бөлім: The Winners of the Conference of Young Scientists
- URL: https://journals.rcsi.science/1068-3739/article/view/230841
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.3103/S106837391803007X
- ID: 230841
Дәйексөз келтіру
Ашық рұқсат
Рұқсат берілді
Тек жазылушылар үшін
Аннотация
The quality of Arctic winter stratospheric dynamics forecast using the SL-AV atmospheric global circulation model is studied. The series of numerical experiments show that forecasts with the lead time up to 7 days are successful. Zonal wind reversal during minor sudden stratospheric warmings is predicted 10–11 days ahead. Overall, the situations of strong polar jet disturbances are beneficial for the forecast accuracy.
Авторлар туралы
V. Shashkin
Institute of Numerical Mathematics; Hydrometeorological Research Center of the Russian Federation; Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology (State University)
Хат алмасуға жауапты Автор.
Email: vvshashkin@gmail.com
Ресей, ul. Gubkina 8, Moscow, 119333; Bolshoi Predtechenskii per. 11–13, Moscow, 123242; Institutskiy per. 9, Dolgoprudny, 141701
