Отправить статью по E-mail Forecast of Polar Stratospheric Vortex Dynamics Using the SL-AV Global Atmosphere Model
- Авторы: Shashkin V.1,2,3
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Учреждения:
- Institute of Numerical Mathematics
- Hydrometeorological Research Center of the Russian Federation
- Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology (State University)
- Выпуск: Том 43, № 3 (2018)
- Страницы: 188-191
- Раздел: The Winners of the Conference of Young Scientists
- URL: https://journals.rcsi.science/1068-3739/article/view/230841
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.3103/S106837391803007X
- ID: 230841
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Аннотация
The quality of Arctic winter stratospheric dynamics forecast using the SL-AV atmospheric global circulation model is studied. The series of numerical experiments show that forecasts with the lead time up to 7 days are successful. Zonal wind reversal during minor sudden stratospheric warmings is predicted 10–11 days ahead. Overall, the situations of strong polar jet disturbances are beneficial for the forecast accuracy.
Об авторах
V. Shashkin
Institute of Numerical Mathematics; Hydrometeorological Research Center of the Russian Federation; Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology (State University)
Автор, ответственный за переписку.
Email: vvshashkin@gmail.com
Россия, ul. Gubkina 8, Moscow, 119333; Bolshoi Predtechenskii per. 11–13, Moscow, 123242; Institutskiy per. 9, Dolgoprudny, 141701
