Отправить статью по E-mail Changes in Surface Temperature in the Arctic: Accuracy of Model Reproduction and Probabilistic Prediction for the Near Future
- Авторы: Sporyshev P.1, Kattsov V.1, Gulev S.2
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Учреждения:
- Voeikov Main Geophysical Observatory
- Shirshov Institute of Oceanology
- Выпуск: Том 479, № 2 (2018)
- Страницы: 503-506
- Раздел: Geophysics
- URL: https://journals.rcsi.science/1028-334X/article/view/192861
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S1028334X18040189
- ID: 192861
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Аннотация
The abilities of an ensemble of present-day global climate models are analyzed during modeling of evolution of the Arctic surface temperature over land including spatial consistency between the modeled and observed data. These results are the basis for probabilistic regional prediction of variation in the surface air temperature for the near future (2021–2040).
Об авторах
P. Sporyshev
Voeikov Main Geophysical Observatory
Автор, ответственный за переписку.
Email: sporyshev@inbox.ru
Россия, St. Petersburg, 194021
V. Kattsov
Voeikov Main Geophysical Observatory
Email: sporyshev@inbox.ru
Россия, St. Petersburg, 194021
S. Gulev
Shirshov Institute of Oceanology
Email: sporyshev@inbox.ru
Россия, Moscow, 117997
