Changes in Surface Temperature in the Arctic: Accuracy of Model Reproduction and Probabilistic Prediction for the Near Future
- 作者: Sporyshev P.1, Kattsov V.1, Gulev S.2
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隶属关系:
- Voeikov Main Geophysical Observatory
- Shirshov Institute of Oceanology
- 期: 卷 479, 编号 2 (2018)
- 页面: 503-506
- 栏目: Geophysics
- URL: https://journals.rcsi.science/1028-334X/article/view/192861
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S1028334X18040189
- ID: 192861
如何引用文章
详细
The abilities of an ensemble of present-day global climate models are analyzed during modeling of evolution of the Arctic surface temperature over land including spatial consistency between the modeled and observed data. These results are the basis for probabilistic regional prediction of variation in the surface air temperature for the near future (2021–2040).
作者简介
P. Sporyshev
Voeikov Main Geophysical Observatory
编辑信件的主要联系方式.
Email: sporyshev@inbox.ru
俄罗斯联邦, St. Petersburg, 194021
V. Kattsov
Voeikov Main Geophysical Observatory
Email: sporyshev@inbox.ru
俄罗斯联邦, St. Petersburg, 194021
S. Gulev
Shirshov Institute of Oceanology
Email: sporyshev@inbox.ru
俄罗斯联邦, Moscow, 117997