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Vol 94, No 11 (2024)

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НАУКА И ОБЩЕСТВО

Beneficiaries of the low-carbon agenda: economic analysis

Shirov A.A., Kolpakov A.Y., Gusev M.S.

Abstract

The article studies the impact of intensive decarbonization on the economic dynamics of large GHGs emitting countries based on a unified methodological approach and complex modeling tools. The most important factors determining the economic efficiency of decarbonization policies are the level of economic development, the sectoral and technological structure of the economy, and dependence on energy imports. For several developing countries, ambitious decarbonization scenarios imply quite serious losses in GDP. The beneficiaries of the low-carbon agenda are the EU and China, where the rise in prices necessary to recoup decarbonization costs is offset by a reduction in hydrocarbon imports and an increase in revenues in industries shaping the low-carbon economy. Russia is characterized by medium sensitivity to ambitious decarbonization. Russia’s competitive advantages lie in the significant potential for relatively inexpensive measures and a high share of low-carbon sources of electricity generation.

Vestnik Rossijskoj akademii nauk. 2024;94(11):965-976
pages 965-976 views

Point of view

Demographic factor of social development

Tsapenko I.P., Subkhangulova K.A.

Abstract

The article analyses the concept of social and demographic development. These concepts are predominantly interpreted as a progressive movement towards a better state, as changes for the better in the quality of life and demographic characteristics of the population. According to the authors, positive demographic dynamics should not be evaluated only as progress, and negative - as regression, without taking into account the socio-economic context and the stage of demographic transition in a particular society. In the context of global demographic changes, including the large-scale spread of depopulation, a new idea of the demographic optimum is constructed, allowing for the absence of population growth and the priority of qualitative socio-demographic parameters (health status, level of education of the population, etc.).

The study shows that demographic processes in different groups of countries pose serious social challenges. These challenges are specific to these territories and have a significant impact on their social development. At the same time, due to the commonality of key population shifts in more and less developed regions of the world, similar social consequences are likely to occur both there and there. The direct effect of life expectancy on the Social Progress Index (SPI) is found to be stronger in the global North than in the South. SPI is used as a composite indicator of quality of life, and the study found an inverse relationship between SPI and the rate of natural population growth. In the North, demographic rather than economic indicators are found to have a more significant impact on SPI.

Vestnik Rossijskoj akademii nauk. 2024;94(11):977-988
pages 977-988 views

Management of territorial risks of development and security of social-natural-technogenic systems

Bychkov I.V., Taseiko O.V., Postnikova U.S., Moskvichev V.V., Shokin Y.I.

Abstract

The relevance of the study is due to the need to provide the governing bodies of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation with tools that allow identifying key problems and priority areas for sustainable development of the socio-, eco- and technosphere of each territory, taking into account the characteristics of natural and geographical conditions, industrial potential, population, and infrastructure. An approach to constructing a mathematical model for managing territorial development risks is proposed using municipalities as an example. A municipality is considered as a socio-natural-technogenic system characterized by a set of basic risks of the socio-, eco- and technosphere, and the security of the socio-natural-technogenic system is a property of a territorial entity taking into account interrelated development risks. The authors argue that reducing complex risk is possible by increasing the security of the territory. Quantitative assessments of the level of complex risk for three large cities of the Siberian Federal District were made, and the values of risk change with an increase in security were obtained.

Vestnik Rossijskoj akademii nauk. 2024;94(11):989-1002
pages 989-1002 views

Review

Digital preventive medicine

Ushakov I.B., Bogomolov A.V.

Abstract

In order to increase the healthy life expectancy and reduce the total temporary disability of the working population, special attention should be paid to the prevention of diseases. The modern level of scientific and technical progress allows to increase the efficiency of solving the problems of preventive medicine through the application of digital technologies. Digital preventive medicine must become an independent research field. The article characterizes the status and prospects of digitalization of key areas of preventive medicine with an emphasis on technologies to preserve the health of the working population. The current issues of digitalization of preventive medicine and priorities of its further development are identified.

Vestnik Rossijskoj akademii nauk. 2024;94(11):1003-1013
pages 1003-1013 views

Ways to achieve carbon neutrality

Chimitdorzhieva G.D.

Abstract

The problems of climate change and initiatives of countries with a high carbon footprint to reduce the rate of its warming are discussed. The characteristics of the instruments for regulating greenhouse gas emissions used to reduce the carbon footprint are given. The main methods for reducing emissions and capturing carbon dioxide are given: CO2 extraction from seawater, reducing carbon dioxide emissions during seawater desalination using photovoltaic systems, a carbon-neutral process for producing hydrogen by steam reforming of methane integrated with CO2 utilization, and the transition to carbon neutrality in the construction industry. Measures for transferring the economies of countries with a high carbon footprint (China, the USA, India, the European Union, Russia, Japan and Brazil) to adaptive methods for achieving carbon neutrality are described. The review is based on statistical materials, reports of international organizations, national authorities, as well as analytical reports and conference materials on climate change, sustainable use, conservation and protection of forests, presented in scientific journals and on official websites.

Vestnik Rossijskoj akademii nauk. 2024;94(11):1014-1024
pages 1014-1024 views

Profiles

“I am a happy person because my job and hobby coincide”. To the 90th anniversary of the birth of academician N.A. Plate

Maksimov A.L., Kalashnikova I.S.

Abstract

The article is dedicated to the memory of the outstanding Russian scientist Nikolai Alfredovich Plate, whose ninetieth birthday is celebrated in 2024. The authors analyze his contribution to the development of polymer chemistry, his role as an organizer of science, his significance in the international cooperation of the Russian Academy of Sciences.

Vestnik Rossijskoj akademii nauk. 2024;94(11):1025-1031
pages 1025-1031 views

Titan of Russian historical science. On the 150th anniversary of the birth of academician E.V. Tarle

Sidorov A.V., Sidorova L.A., Tikhonov V.V.

Abstract

The article is devoted to the main stages of the life and scientific path of the remarkable Russian historian, master of artistic image, academician E.V. Tarle. The role of the scientist in the historical science of Russia, the research potential of his creative heritage are shown.

Vestnik Rossijskoj akademii nauk. 2024;94(11):1032-1042
pages 1032-1042 views

Bygone times

Neuromorphological studies of the scientific school of V.M. Bekhterev

Nikishina N.A.

Abstract

The article presents an overview of the scientific achievements of V.M. Bekhterev, his students, and his followers in the field of anatomy and histology of the nervous system in normal and pathological conditions. The main works of Bekhterev on the study of localization of functions in the central nervous system, as well as the work of employees of the morphology department of the Institute for the Study of the Brain and Mental Activity, were carried out under the supervision of L.Ya. Pines, are noted. Special attention is paid to the scientific discoveries of Pines in the field of neuromorphology, as well as a large-scale study of the brain anatomy of outstanding scientists of the early twentieth century, conducted by the staff of the V.M. Bekhterev scientific school.

Vestnik Rossijskoj akademii nauk. 2024;94(11):1043-1051
pages 1043-1051 views

The Soviet delegation at the IV International Congress on Human Genetics in Paris in 1971

Shalimov S.V.

Abstract

The article is devoted to the participation of Soviet scientists in the IV International Congress on Human Genetics, which was held in Paris in 1971. This event is analyzed in the context of the development of Soviet-French scientific relations. Excerpts from reports of well-known domestic geneticists are given, reflecting both the level of scientific activity and the state of foreign science. The unrealized initiative of N.P. Dubinin to hold a congress in Moscow and a forum in Mexico City in 1976 are mentioned. Despite the small number of the delegation, representatives of the USSR were elected to the organizing committee of both congresses. It is safe to say that the trip to France played an important role in the development of human genetics in the USSR, and also stimulated research on cytogenetics, which became more extensive and systematic.

Vestnik Rossijskoj akademii nauk. 2024;94(11):1052-1058
pages 1052-1058 views

Official Section

Big gold medal of the Russian Academy of Sciences named after N.I. Pirogov 2024

Vestnik Rossijskoj akademii nauk. 2024;94(11):1059-1060
pages 1059-1060 views

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