DEMOGRAPHIC POTENTIAL OF THE WORLD'S COUNTRIES

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Abstract

Most countries face serious demographic challenges associated with population ageing, declining labor potential, migration crises, and other negative processes. This article proposes a methodology for measuring demographic potential across all countries of the world, based on the application of multivariate statistical analysis. The composite indicator enables the detection of weaknesses in demographic systems as well as the factors that largely determine their resilience in the short, medium, and long term. Three methods were applied in the calculations: entropy weighting, principal component analysis, and the CRITIC method. The resulting index also enables cross-country comparisons and can be used in the design of demographic policy measures.

About the authors

M. S Varenik

Higher School of Public Administration at Lomonosov Moscow State University

Author for correspondence.
Email: msvarenik@anspa.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0351-2557
Candidate of Sciences (Sociology), Deputy Director Moscow, Russian Federation

A. R Bakhtizin

Central Economics and Mathematics Institute of the RAS

Email: albert.bakhtizin@gmail.com
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9649-0168
Corresponding Member of the RAS, Director Moscow, Russian Federation

V. L Makarov

Central Economics and Mathematics Institute of the RAS; New Economic School; Higher School of Public Administration at Lomonosov Moscow State University

Email: makarov@cemi.rssi.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2802-2100
Academician of the RAS, Academic Director; President; Director Moscow, Russian Federation

Wu Jie

Guangzhou Milestone Software Co., Ltd.; Center for Economic and Social Integration and Forecasting, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences; Guangdong Academy of Social Sciences; National Supercomputer Center of the People's Republic of China

Email: jw@gzmss.com
ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3497-2388
Chairman of the Board; researcher; visiting professor; consultant Guangzhou, China; Beijing, China; Guangzhou, China; Guangzhou, China

Hoda A. Al-Khzaimi

World Economic Forum’s (WEF) Global Future Council on Cybersecurity; EMARATSEC Center for Cryptography and Emerging Technologies; Center for Cybersecurity at New York University in Abu Dhabi (UAE)

Email: Hoda.alkhzaimi@gmail.com
ORCID iD: 0009-0005-3103-8321
co-chair; founder and director; director Geneva, Switzerland; Abu Dhabi, UAE; Abu Dhabi, UAE

He Zhou

School of Economics and Management at the University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences

Email: hezhou@ucas.ac.cn
ORCID iD: 0000-0001-6288-7215
professor Beijing, China

Wu Zili

Guangzhou Milestone Software Co., Ltd.

Email: wzl@gzmss.com
ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7868-8413
vice chairman Guangzhou, China

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