Estimation of the Average Values of the Wolf Numbers of Cycles
of the Dalton Minimum Based on the Characteristics
of Reliable Cycles of a Series

I. G.  Shibaev; Шибаев И. Г.

doi:10.31857/S001679402210025X

Estimation of the Average Values of the Wolf Numbers of Cycles of the Dalton Minimum Based on the Characteristics of Reliable Cycles of a Series

Autores: Shibaev I.G.¹
Afiliações:
1. Pushkov Institute of Terrestrial Magnetism, Ionosphere, and Radio Wave Propagation, Russian Academy of Sciences (IZMIRAN)
Edição: Volume 63, Nº 3 (2023)
Páginas: 403-408
Seção: ДИСКУССИИ
URL: https://journals.rcsi.science/0016-7940/article/view/134730
DOI: https://doi.org/10.31857/S001679402210025X
EDN: https://elibrary.ru/PJLHYM
ID: 134730

Citar

Texto integral

Acesso aberto
Acesso é fechado

Acesso está concedido
Acesso é fechado

Somente assinantes

Resumo
Sobre autores
Bibliografia
Arquivos suplementares
Estatísticas

Resumo

The source material for the number of Wolf numbers is both archival records of disparate observations
and regular observatory observations. Many researchers rely on a series of Wolf numbers, including
restored data of archival records, although the properties and characteristics of the restored and reliable parts
of the series differ significantly. The parameters of the restored part itself are also contradictory. Naturally,
matching the properties of the reconstructed and reliable series will smooth the contradictions and expand
the array of more reliable data. Taking the relationship between the characteristics of significant cycles into
account, options for group correction of the average values of cycles I–IX are presented. Since local data
residuals play a lesser role when comparing extended fragments, by relying on the integral estimates of these
fragments (without detailing the conditions for their formation) we obtained more weighted interval estimates.
The parameters of intervals (groups of cycles) of a reliable series serve as the basis for correction.

Sobre autores

I. Shibaev

Pushkov Institute of Terrestrial Magnetism, Ionosphere, and Radio Wave Propagation,
Russian Academy of Sciences (IZMIRAN)

Autor responsável pela correspondência
Email: ishib@izmiran.ru
Moscow, Troitsk, 108840 Russia

Bibliografia

– Витинский Ю.И., Копецкий М., Куклин Г.В. Статистика пятнообразовательной деятельности Солнца. М.: Наука, 296 с. 1986.
– Иванов–Холодный Г.С., Чертопруд В.Е. Солнечная активность // Исследование космического пространства. Т. 33. С. 3–99. 1990. (Итоги науки и техники. ВИНИТИ АН СССР).
– Ишков В.Н., Шибаев И.Г. Циклы солнечной активности: общие характеристики и современные границы прогнозирования // Изв. РАН. Сер. физ. Т. 70. № 10. С. 1439–1442. 2006.
– Отсука К., Корнелиссен Г., Халберг Ф. Хроном климатических измерений ширины древесных колец // Геофизические процессы и биосфера. Т. 8. № 1. С. 63–72. 2009.
– Шибаев А.И. Сопоставление характерных параметров солнечных циклов новой и старой версий рядов чисел Вольфа и динамика длиннопериодных компонент рядов // Тр. XIV конференции молодых ученых – 2017. ИКИ РАН, Москва. С. 143–148. 2017.
– Шибаев И.Г. Оценка восстановленной части ряда ежемесячных чисел Вольфа (1700–1849 гг.) по характеристикам его достоверной части (1849–2009) и температурным рядам / Тр. Всер. Конф."ССЗФ-2010”. СПб: ГАО РАН. С. 455–458. 2010.
– Hathaway D.H. The Solar Cycle // Living Rev. Solar Phys. V. 12. № 4. 2015. https://doi.org/10.1007/lrsp-2015-4
– Feynman J., Gabriel S.B. Period and phase of the 88-year Solar cycle and the Maunder minimum: evidence for a chaotic Sun // Solar Phys. V. 127. № 2. P. 393–403. 1990.
– Gleissberg W. A long-periodic Fluctuation of the Sun-spot Numbers // Observatory. V. 62. P. 158–159. 1939.
– Gleissberg W. Die Persistenz des 80 Jahrigen Sonnenfleckenzyklus Durch 16 Jahrhunderte // İ.Ü. Fen Fak. Mecm. Seri C. № 20. P. 263–271. 1955. = Publ. Istanbul Univ. Obs. № 57. 9 p. Ref. AJB 1955.
– Gleissberg W. Secularly smoothed data on the minima and maxima of sunspot frequency // Solar Phys. V. 2. № 2. P. 231–233. 1967.
– Shibaev A. Connection between period of low-frequency component Wolf’s numbers (WNS) and length of Wolf’s numbers series // Aerospace Research in Bulgaria. V. 29. P. 5–9. 2017.
– Shibaev I.G. Estimation of the reconstructed part of the Wolf series and the possibility of its correction // Solar Syst. Res. V. 42. № 1. P. 63–71. 2008.
– Solar-Terrestrial Influences on Weather and Climate // Proceeding of a Symposium. The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, 24–28 August 1978. Dordrecht, Holland. 348 p. 1979.
– Usoskin I.G., Mursula K., Kovaltsov G.A. The lost sunspot cycle: Reanalysis of sunspot statistics // Astron. Astrophys. V. 403. № 2. P. 743–748. 2003.