The left atrium remodeling is associated with adverse outcomes in unoperated degenerative aortic stenosis

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Abstract

Degenerative aortic stenosis (DAS) may be accompanied by remodeling of the left atrium (LA). The aim of the study was to assess the effect of the morpho-functional parameters of the LA remodeling on the prognosis of patients with DAS. The prospective study included 383 patients (men – 33.9% of patients), aged 78.9 ± 0.40 years, with DAS (mild – 18.3%, moderate – 30.8%, severe – 50.9%). The patients did not undergo a surgical correction of the defect. The LA morpho-functional state was estimated by the LA size/volume and the ratio of the rate of the transmitral flow to the rate of the early diastolic movement of the fibrous mitral valve ring (E/e ratio). The average follow-up period was 603.9 ± 24.57 days. The general mortality was assessed. The information on the outcomes was collected by telephone contacts. Multivariate Сox-regression analyses showed that the LA remodeling was independently associated with the death risk: an increase in the LA size ≥45 mm (ОR 1.6, CI 1.06-2.37, р=0.026) and an increase in the Е/е ratio >15 (ОR 1.6, CI 1.08-2.39, р=0.021). Another risk factor was a decrease in the creatinine clearance <45 ml/min (ОR 1.7, CI 1.10-2.60, р=0.016), area of the aortic valve (ОR 0.4, CI 0.26-0.74, р=0.002) and a decrease in the left ventricular ejection fraction <40% (ОR 1.7, CI 1.02-2.71, р=0.042). The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the E/e ratio>15 and the LА size ≥45 mm were statistically significantly associated with an increased risk of the general mortality (р<0.0001, LogRank=14.5 and р<0.0001, LogRank=18.2, respectively). The areas under the ROC curves for the increased LA size ≥45 mm and the E/e ratio>15 were 0.62 and 0.61, respectively. Thus, the indices of the LA remodeling – the LA size ≥45 mm and the E/e ratio > 15 – are associated with a poor outcome in patients with DAS.

About the authors

V. I. Safaryan

Municipal Clinical Hospital No. 51 of the Moscow Municipal Department of Healthcare

Author for correspondence.
Email: vahtang1985@yandex.ru

врач-терапевт

Russian Federation, Moscow

I. V. Zotova

Central State Medical Academy of the Department of Presidential Affairs of the Russian Federation; Municipal Clinical Hospital No. 17 of the Moscow Municipal Department of Healthcare

Email: irinazotova@bk.ru

к.м.н., доцент кафедры терапии, кардиологии и функциональной диагностики; врач-кардиолог 

Russian Federation, Moscow

T. A. Tipteva

Central State Medical Academy of the Department of Presidential Affairs of the Russian Federation

Email: olgakoroleva@hotmail.com

к.м.н., ассистент кафедры терапии, кардиологии и функциональной диагностики

Russian Federation, Moscow

O. S. Koroleva

Central State Medical Academy of the Department of Presidential Affairs of the Russian Federation

Email: tburyakina@yandex.ru

аспирант кафедры терапии, кардиологии и функциональной диагностики

Russian Federation, Moscow

D. A. Zateyshchikov

Municipal Clinical Hospital No. 51 of the Moscow Municipal Department of Healthcare; Central State Medical Academy of the Department of Presidential Affairs of the Russian Federation; Municipal Clinical Hospital No. 17 of the Moscow Municipal Department of Healthcare

Email: dz@bk.ru

д.м.н., профессор, заведующий первичным сосудистым отделением; заведующий кафедрой терапии, кардиологии и функциональной диагностики; врач-кардиолог 

Russian Federation, Moscow

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Supplementary files

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2. Fig. 1. Kaplan – Meier survival curves. A: survival of patients with DAS, depending on the magnitude of the ratio of the velocity of the transmitral flux to the velocity of the early diastolic movement of the fibrous ring of the mitral valve (E / e ratio) B: survival of patients with DAS, depending on the size of the left atrium (LP)

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Copyright (c) 2018 Safaryan V.I., Zotova I.V., Tipteva T.A., Koroleva O.S., Zateyshchikov D.A.

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