Contextual moderations of electoral educational inequalities in European countries
- Авторлар: Safronov V.V.1
-
Мекемелер:
- Sociological Institute of FCTAS RAS
- Шығарылым: Том 11, № 1 (2024)
- Беттер: 40-70
- Бөлім: ELITES AND POLITICS IN EUROPE
- URL: https://journals.rcsi.science/2410-9517/article/view/292112
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.31119/pe.2024.11.1.2
- EDN: https://elibrary.ru/NGJZJY
- ID: 292112
Дәйексөз келтіру
Толық мәтін
Аннотация
INEQUALITIES IN EUROPEAN COUNTRIESAbstract. This paper examines educational inequalities of voter participation in parliamentary elections in Europe and Russia. These inequalities, reflecting, as research in Western and Eastern Europe suggests, some of the most pronounced structural differences in voting, may differ markedly across countries, presumably due to their socio-economic development and the state of democratic institutions. In order to test these assumptions, we consider survey data from the European Social Survey (ESS, Round 9) conducted in 28 European countries, including Russia (Round 8), as well as statistical and analytical data on the prevalence of corruption in these countries, the state of unemployment and other characteristics. Statistical analysis is performed using two-level logistic modeling with random coefficients for individual-level variables and explanation of their differences by contextual factors. The results confirm that participation in parliamentary elections is closely related to the education of voters — with its growth the probability of voting increases significantly. This correlation is conditioned by the social context — the electoral activity of educated strata begins to decline as the quality of democratic institutions indicated by corruption perception deteriorates. As the country faces growing economic problems, evidenced by higher unemployment rates, people with low education are more likely to participate in the election of the parliament.
Авторлар туралы
Vyacheslav Safronov
Sociological Institute of FCTAS RAS
Email: vsafronov@list.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-5971-1777
SPIN-код: 7873-9356
ResearcherId: N-9740-2015
senior research fellow, Department of Sociology of Power and Civil Society St. Petersburg, Russia
Әдебиет тізімі
- Сафронов В.В. Коррупция и электоральные классовые неравенства в европейских странах // Власть и элиты. 2023. Т. 10. № 1. С. 5–42. https://doi.org/10.31119/pe.2023.10.1.1. EDN: VFIYXP
- Сафронов В.В. Участие в выборах Государственной Думы: социальные неравенства, мотивации и мобилизация // Власть и элиты. 2023b. Т. 10. № 2. С. 121–169. https://doi.org/10.31119/pe.2023.10.2.6. EDN: ANXPUL
- Banducci S.A., Karp J.A. Electoral systems, efficacy, and voter turnout. The Comparative Study of Electoral Systems. Ed. by H.-D. Klingemann. New York: Oxford University Press, 2009. P. 109–134.
- Birch S. Elections and voters. Developments in Central and East European Politics Ed. by S. White, P.G. Lewis, J. Batt. Durham: Duke University Press, 2013. P. 156–170.
- Blais A. To Vote or not to vote? The merits and limits of rational choice. Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press, 2000. 208 p.
- Blais A. Turnout in elections. The Oxford handbook of political behavior. Ed. by R.J. Dalton, H.D. Klingemann. New York: Oxford University Press. 2007. P. 621–635. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199270125.003.0033
- Blais A., Daoust J.-F. The Motivation to vote: Explaining electoral participation. Vancouver: UBC Press, 2020. 156 p. https://doi.org/10.1080/00344893.2020.1837213
- Blais A., Dassonneville R., Kostelka F. Political equality and turnout. The Oxford handbook of political representation in liberal democracies. Ed. by R. Rohrschneider, J. Thomassen. New York: Oxford University Press. 2020. P. 396–412. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780198825081.013.20
- Cancela J., Geys B. Explaining voter turnout: A meta-analysis of national and subnational elections. Electoral Studies. 2016. Vol. 42. P. 264–275. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2016.03.005.
- Colton T.J. Transitional citizens: Voters and what influences them in the new Russia. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2000. 336 p.
- Cruz J.N. A Fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis of how corruption, education, inequality and trust in parliament affect voter-turnout. Crime, Law and Social Change. 2023. Vol. 80. No. 5. P. 1–21. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10611–023–10102–0
- Dalton R.J. The Participation Gap: Social Status and Political Inequality. New York: Oxford University Press, 2017. 280 p. https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198733607.001.0001
- DeBell M., Krosnick J.A., Gera K., Yeager D.S., McDonald M.P. The turnout gap in surveys: explanations and solutions. Sociological Methods & Research. 2020. Vol. 49. No. 4. P. 1133–1162. https://doi.org/10.1177/0049124118769085
- Gallego A. Unequal political participation worldwide. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2015. 252 p. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139151726
- Hadjar A., Beck M. Who does not participate in elections in Europe and why is this? A multilevel analysis of social mechanisms behind non-voting. European Societies. 2010. Vol. 12. No. 4. P. 521–542. https://doi.org/10.1080/14616696.2010.483007
- Jackson R.A. Clarifying the relationship between education and turnout. American Politics Research. 1995. Vol. 23. No. 3. P. 279–299. https://doi.org/10.1177/1532673X9502300302
- Kittilson M.C., Anderson C.J. Electoral supply and voter turnout. Citizens, context, and choice: How context shapes citizens’ electoral choices. Ed. by R.J. Dalton, C.J. Anderson. New York: Oxford University Press. 2011. P. 33–54.
- Kostelka F. The state of political participation in post-communist democracies: Low but surprisingly little biased citizen engagement. Europe-Asia Studies. 2014. Vol. 66. No. 6. P. 945–968. https://doi.org/10.1080/09668136.2014.905386
- Laakso M., Taagepera R. “Effective” number of parties: A measure with application to West Europe. Comparative Political Studies. 1979. Vol. 12. No. 1. P. 3–27. https://doi.org/10.1177/001041407901200101
- Lahtinen H., Martikainen P., Mattila M., Wass H., Rapeli L. Do surveys overestimate or underestimate socioeconomic differences in voter turnout? Evidence from administrative registers. Public Opinion Quarterly. 2019. Vol. 83. No. 2. P. 363–385. https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfz022
- Leighley J.E., Nagler J. Who votes now? Demographics, issues, inequality, and turnout in the United States. Princeton and Oxford: Princeton University Press, 2013. 232 p.
- McAllister I., White S. Demobilizing voters: Election turnout in the 2016 Russian election. Russian Politics. 2017. Vol. 2. No. 4. P. 411–433. https://doi.org/10.1163/2451–8921–00204002
- Persson M. Review Article: Education and Political Participation. British Journal of Political Science. 2013. Vol. 45. No. 3. P. 689–703. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123413000409
- Plutzer E. Demographics and the social bases of voter turnout. The Routledge handbook of elections, voting behavior and public opinion. Ed. by J. Fisher, E. Fieldhouse, M.N. Franklin, R. Gibson, M. Cantijoch, C. Wlezien. London and New York: Routledge, 2018. P. 69–82.
- Raudenbush S.W., Bryk A.S. Hierarchical linear models: Applications and data analysis methods. Second Edition. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage. 2002. 512 p.
- Schlozman K.L., Brady H.E., Verba S. Unequal and unrepresented: Political inequality and the people’s voice in the new gilded age. Princeton and Oxford: Princeton University Press, 2018. 352 p.
- Selb P., Munzert S. Voter overrepresentation, vote misreporting, and turnout bias in postelection surveys. Electoral Studies. 2013. Vol. 32. No. 1. P. 186–196. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2012.11.004
- Smets K., van Ham C. The embarrassment of riches? A meta-analysis of individual-level research on voter turnout. Electoral Studies. 2013. Vol. 32. No. 2. P. 344–359. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2012.12.006
- Solt F. Economic inequality and democratic political engagement. American Journal of Political Science. 2008. Vol. 52. No. 1. P. 48–60. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540–5907.2007.00298.x.
- Stockemer D. What affects voter turnout? A review article/meta-analysis of aggregate research. Government and Opposition. 2017. Vol. 52. No. 4. P. 698–722. https://doi.org/10.1017/gov.2016.30.
- Verba S., Schlozman K.L., Brady H.E. Voice and equality: Civic voluntarism in American democracy. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1995. 664 p.
- Wass H., Blais A. Turnout. The SAGE handbook of electoral behaviour. Vol. 1. Ed. by K. Arzheimer, J. Evans, M.S. Lewis-Beck. London: Sage. 2017. P. 459–487.
- Willeck C., Mendelberg Т. Education and political participation. Annual Review of Political Science. 2022. Vol. 25. P. 89–110. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurevpolisci–051120–014235
- Wolfinger R., Rosenstone S. Who votes? New Haven: Yale University Press, 1980. 160 p.
- World Social Protection Report 2017–19: Universal social protection to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals. Geneva: ILO, International Labour Office, 2017. 432 p.
Қосымша файлдар

