Artificial intelligence predicting the risk of obesity in children

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Abstract

Aim – to find effective methods for detecting and preventing obesity at early age.

Material and methods. A dataset including the risk factors for child obesity was processed with artificial neural networks (ANN) and Statistica Neural Networks software. Clinical observations of 30 patients were used. The neural network was trained to predict the risk of obesity in children depending on the values of the selected parameters: standard deviation of body mass index from the norm, sex, age, obesity in parents, birth weight, duration of breastfeeding, deviation of body fat tissue content from the norm, and deviation of nutrition calories from the recommended values.

Results. After training, the neural network MLP-8-7-1 was selected due to its high coefficients of determination 0.999999; 0.999407; 0.984930 for the training, test and control samples, respectively. This indicates the high performance of the trained ANN, the adequacy of which was checked graphically by constructing a histogram of residuals – the difference between the entered and received by the network values of the risk of obesity development in children.

Conclusion. The trained neural network can be used to predict the degree of risk of obesity in children and develop the necessary preventive measures in patients from risk groups.

About the authors

Timofei V. Chubarov

Voronezh State Medical University named after N.N. Burdenko

Email: chubarov25@yandex.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1352-7026

PhD, Chief Physician of the Voronezh Children's Clinical Hospital, Head of the Center for Endocrinology

Russian Federation, Voronezh

Olga A. Zhdanova

Voronezh State Medical University named after N.N. Burdenko

Email: olga.vr9@yandex.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3917-0395

PhD, Associate professor, Department of Clinical Pharmacology

Russian Federation, Voronezh

Olga G. Sharshova

Voronezh State Medical University named after N.N. Burdenko

Email: genvgma@yandex.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0412-7853

Head of the Department of Endocrinology of the Voronezh Children's Clinical Hospital

Russian Federation, Voronezh

Mariya V. Patritskaya

Voronezh State Medical University named after N.N. Burdenko

Email: doctorpatrikUZD@yandex.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4498-0130

ultrasound diagnostics doctor of the Voronezh Children’s Clinical Hospital

Russian Federation, Voronezh

Olga G. Galda

Voronezh State Medical University named after N.N. Burdenko

Email: galda.ol@yandex.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2891-0906

6th year medical student

Russian Federation, Voronezh

Kenan S. Niftaliev

Voronezh State Medical University named after N.N. Burdenko

Author for correspondence.
Email: niftaliev.s@yandex.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6996-4188

4th year medical student

Russian Federation, Voronezh

References

Supplementary files

Supplementary Files
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1. JATS XML
2. Tabl.1

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3. Tabl.2

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4. Figure 1. Histogram of the dependence of residuals on the number of observations.

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5. Figure 2. Response surface of obesity risk degree from the paired effect of the factors: a) BMI-SDS and age, years; b) BMI-SDS and parental obesity; c) BMI-SDS and birth weight, g; d) BMI-SDS and duration of breastfeeding, months; e) SDS-BMI and caloric intake, deviation percentage; f) parental obesity and caloric intake, deviation percentage; g) deviation percentage of fat tissue and weight, g; h) deviation percentage of fat tissue and duration of breastfeeding, months.

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6. Tabl.3

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7. Tabl.4

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Copyright (c) 2022 Chubarov T.V., Zhdanova O.A., Sharshova O.G., Patritskaya M.V., Galda O.G., Niftaliev K.S.

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