Opportunities of statusmetriya in evaluation of 10-year risk atherosclerosis clinical manifestations development

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Abstract

The information content of Framingham, SCORE model and, statusmetriya in the evaluation of the total ten-year cardiovascular risk in an isolated sample of 207 males without clinical manifestations of atherosclerosis was investigated. Detected that most of the observations from persons who had attained over a 10-year period of the combined end point, the models qualified incorrectly, which didn’t meet the requirements of individual risk assessment in a limited sample group of males. Statusmetrichesky algorithm, in contrast to the accepted system of risk stratification, significantly more of the entities attributed to high-risk and significantly less - to the low-risk category. Sensitivity of the model was 73,9%, specificity - 74,7%, the total information value - 74,5%.

About the authors

A. S Svistov

Military Medical Academy named after S.M.Kirov

д-р мед. наук, проф., нач. каф. военно-морской и госпитальной терапии

P. V Bovtyushko

Military Medical Academy named after S.M.Kirov

канд. мед. наук, преподаватель каф. военно-морской и госпитальной терапии

S. L Grishayev

Military Medical Academy named after S.M.Kirov

Email: grishaev_med@mail.ru
д-р мед. наук, доц., зам. нач. каф. военно-морской и госпитальной терапии

V. S Nikiforov

North−Western State Medical University named after I.I.Mechnikov, Saint Petersburg

д-р мед. наук, проф. каф. функциональной диагностики

A. E Filippov

Military Medical Academy named after S.M.Kirov

д-р мед. наук, проф. 1-й каф. (терапии усовершенствования врачей)

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