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Volume 44, Nº 11 (2019)

Article

Satellite Monitoring of Natural Hazards on the Territory of Russia

Asmus V., Ioffe G., Kramareva L., Krovotyntsev V., Milekhin O., Solov’eva I.

Resumo

The study presents methods and examples of using satellite-based products developed by the Planeta Research Center for Space Hydrometeorology to monitor natural hazards (floods, fires, tropical cyclones, environmental pollution, volcanic activity, etc.) on the territory of Russia.

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology. 2019;44(11):719-728
pages 719-728 views

The System for Numerical Prediction of Weather Events (Including Severe Ones) for Moscow Megacity: The Prototype Development

Rivin G., Vil’fand R., Kiktev D., Rozinkina I., Tudriy K., Blinov D., Varentsov M., Samsonov T., Bundel’ A., Kirsanov A., Zakharchenko D.

Resumo

The COSMO-Ru1Mp prototype of the numerical weather prediction system for the Moscow region with a grid spacing of 1 km and with the included and adapted TERRA_URB parameterization module for the urban areas is implemented. The module is provided with necessary information on the urban development and on the sources of anthropogenic heat based on the adaptation of open data. The module is interfaced with the COSMO-Ru operational system for the regional numerical weather prediction developed in the Hydrometcenter of Russia. The primary testing of the COSMO-Ru1Mp is performed, including daily forecasts based on operational data. The advantage of this forecast system and the prospects of its further development are revealed.

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology. 2019;44(11):729-738
pages 729-738 views

Assessment of Modern Changes in Maximum River Flow in Russia

Georgievskii V., Grek E., Grek E., Lobanova A., Molchanova T.

Resumo

The long-term changes in annual maximum flow for the unregulated rivers of the Russian Federation are analyzed using data from 513 Roshydromet gaging stations. The following are evaluated: linear trends in the series of maximum river flow for the period of 1950–2016 and its statistical characteristics (mean values, variance, the number of years with the exceeding of the 10% probability maximum runoff) for two multiyear periods (the modern climate warming and the previous one). As a result, the zoning of the Russian territory is made according to the direction and intensity of modern changes in these parameters. The probability of historical maxima registered for the rivers at the beginning of the 21st century is estimated.

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology. 2019;44(11):739-745
pages 739-745 views

Monitoring of Dangerous Ice Phenomena Using Satellite Imagery and Model Simulation

Smirnov V., Bychkova I., Zakhvatkina N., Mironov E., Klyachkin S.

Resumo

A possibility of monitoring some dangerous ice phenomena using satellite data of various spectral ranges is considered. The comparison of the results obtained by satellite methods and model simulations is presented. The advantages and disadvantages of these approaches are discussed. The proposals for the further development of the presented monitoring methods are given.

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology. 2019;44(11):746-755
pages 746-755 views

International Practices of Thunderstorm Nowcasting

Ivanova A.

Resumo

The overview of papers dealing with the history of development and the current state of thunderstorm nowcasting technologies is presented. A role of information on thunderstorms obtained from different sources (satellites, radars, lightning detectors, ground-based microwave radiometers) and the significance of output data of numerical weather prediction models for thunderstorm nowcasting are shown. The features of thunderstorm nowcasting systems used in the national meteorological services are discussed.

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology. 2019;44(11):756-763
pages 756-763 views

Automated Forecasting of Waterspouts off the Black Sea Coast of Russia and Its Performance Assessment

Kalmykova O., Shershakov V., Novitskii M., Shmerlin B.

Resumo

The automated forecasting of waterspouts off the Black Sea coast is considered. The technique for the short-range forecasting of waterspout-risk situations and for the detection of waterspout-risk areas based on weather radar data in real time are presented. The results of the author’s testing of the technique for the period from August 2017 to October 2018 are given. A possibility of the automated preparation of waterspout warnings is substantiated. The prospects of using the experience gained for the development of the automated tornado forecasting system for the European part of Russia are analyzed.

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology. 2019;44(11):764-771
pages 764-771 views

Drought Monitoring Based on Ground and Satellite Data

Kleshchenko A., Asmus V., Strashnaya A., Krovotyntsev V., Virchenko O., Savitskaya O., Bereza O., Vasilenko E., Sukhareva V., Morgunov Y., Kosyakin S.

Resumo

Droughts on the territory of Russia and their impact on the crop productivity are briefly described. Drought risk maps and the current and future drought indices are discussed. The Russian drought monitoring system based on the ground information is considered. The possibility of using satellite data for the operational drought monitoring is assessed. The results of the evaluation of the crop state and droughts based on surface and satellite data are given.

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology. 2019;44(11):772-781
pages 772-781 views

Instruments, Observations, and Processing

Wind Shear Detection from Weather Radar Data

Denisenkov D., Zhukov V., Shchukin G.

Resumo

Wind shear is detected by retrieving the wind profiles calculated using the estimated average frequency of the signal received by the weather radar. The height range and the resolution of the data obtained are not satisfactory for aviation being the main consumer of this information. A new solution of this problem is presented in the paper. It is based on the estimates of the spectrum width of reflected signals and meets the demands made. Data of the storm warning system of the Russian Federation form the base for the new method. The model of the spectrum width map obtained in the presence of wind shear and its numerical and analytic solutions are described. A method for the wind shear estimation is formulated, data of experimental studies on its verification are given.

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology. 2019;44(11):782-789
pages 782-789 views

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