Estimation of drought-related yield loss using the dynamic statistical model of crop productivity forecasting


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Abstract

The methodological approach is proposed to the estimation of drought-related crop yield loss based on the dynamic statistical model of crop productivity forecasting. The obtained results agree well with the total actual crop yield loss. The approach under consideration is the first stage of creation of operational assessment of expected loss.

About the authors

A. D. Kleshchenko

All-Russian Research Institute of Agricultural Meteorology

Author for correspondence.
Email: cxm@meteo.ru
Russian Federation, pr. Lenina 82, Obninsk, Kaluga oblast, 249020

V. M. Lebedeva

All-Russian Research Institute of Agricultural Meteorology

Email: cxm@meteo.ru
Russian Federation, pr. Lenina 82, Obninsk, Kaluga oblast, 249020

T. A. Goncharova

All-Russian Research Institute of Agricultural Meteorology

Email: cxm@meteo.ru
Russian Federation, pr. Lenina 82, Obninsk, Kaluga oblast, 249020

T. A. Naidina

All-Russian Research Institute of Agricultural Meteorology

Email: cxm@meteo.ru
Russian Federation, pr. Lenina 82, Obninsk, Kaluga oblast, 249020

N. M. Shklyaeva

All-Russian Research Institute of Agricultural Meteorology

Email: cxm@meteo.ru
Russian Federation, pr. Lenina 82, Obninsk, Kaluga oblast, 249020


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