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Vol 42, No 3 (2017)

Article

Monsoon circulation over the Amur River basin during catastrophic flood and extreme drought in summer

Semenov E.K., Sokolikhina N.N., Tatarinovich E.V.

Abstract

Two opposite Far East monsoon summer seasons over the Amur River basin are investigated which caused the extreme drought and fires in 2008 and catastrophic flood in 2013. It is shown that in the low-water summer of 2008 due to blocking processes, polar-front cyclones were almost absent over the Amur, were short, had fuzzy frontal systems, and did not bring precipitation. The summer monsoon circulation was suppressed, and in the Amur region continental air masses dominated over marine tropical air. On the contrary, the summer of 2013 was characterized by unprecedented cyclonic activity and the sharp strengthening ofthe moisture-laden monsoon flow from the ocean. As a result, the intensification of summer monsoon precipitation and the Amur flood were observed. It was established that the Far East summer monsoon anomalies are associated with the large-scale transformation of atmospheric circulation over the Asia-Pacific region.

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology. 2017;42(3):141-149
pages 141-149 views

Trends in precipitation parameters in the climate zones of southern Russia (1961–2011)

Ashabokov B.A., Tashilova A.A., Kesheva L.A., Taubekova Z.A.

Abstract

The data of 19 weather stations for 1961-2011 on total and maximum daily precipitation for the plain (<500 m above the sea level), foothill (500-1000 m), and mountain (1000-2000 m) zones of the south of European Russia are used for analyzing the precipitation regime, investigating its trends, revealing the extremes, and making conclusions on zonal seasonal and annual variations in precipitation.

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology. 2017;42(3):150-158
pages 150-158 views

The differential method for calculation of cloud motion vectors

Simonenko E.V., Chudin A.O., Davidenko A.N.

Abstract

The problem ofcloud data retrieval for the periods between the fixed terms ofobservations from geostationary satellites is solved using the differential methods for the optical flow. To solve the problem, the possibility of using different methods for computing cloud motion vectors is investigated. The estimates of the accuracy of computed vectors based on artificially generated test sequences are presented. The test results reveal that the accuracy of the optical flow calculation with the modt fied Brox’s method excels the other mentioned methods. The software is implemented for creating the smooth animation of cloud movement using the modified Brox’s method.

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology. 2017;42(3):159-167
pages 159-167 views

Comparison of the results of 85Kr transport modeling with the ACURATE field experiment data

Rubinshtein K.G., Safronov A.N., Pripachkin D.A., Ignatov R.Y., Emelina S.V., Nabokova E.V., Kurbatova M.M., Blagodatskikh D.V., Arutyunyan R.V., Sorokovikova O.S., Semenov V.N.

Abstract

Currently the Nuclear Safety Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences (NSI RAS) jointly with the Hydrometcenter of Russia is developing the system for forecasting the transfer of radio-active substances in the atmosphere in case of radiation accidents at Russian nuclear power plants. The operation of the system is based on the numerical hydrodynamic model which allows forecasting meteorological parameters and is coupled with the mesoscale dispersion model of the transfer ofradioactive substances in the atmosphere. The results are presented of 85Kr transport modeling under the conditions of the ACURATE experiment with three transport models: FLEXPART, HYSPLIT, and the model from the NOSTRADAMUS software package. It is demonstrated that all three Lagrangian models can give a qualitative description of concentration fields from the ACURATE experiment with the best value of the RANK metric (2.5) based on three statistics.

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology. 2017;42(3):168-180
pages 168-180 views

Wind effects on the upwelling variability in the coastal zone of Primorye (the northwest of the Sea of Japan)

Zhabin I.A., Dmitrieva E.V., Kil’matov T.R., Andreev A.G.

Abstract

The variability of upwelling events in the coastal zone of Primorye in the northwestern part of the Sea of Japan is studied using the SeaWinds/QuikSCAT scatterometer wind data for the period of 1999-2009. The intensity of upwelling is defined by the wind-induced offshore Ekman transport (the upwelling index). It was found that along the southern coast of Primorye upwelling events occur from September to March (April). The winter monsoon period is the most favorable for the upwelling development. In the eastern part of the coastal zone of Primorye upwelling is observed in transitional seasons between winter and summer monsoon (February-April and September-October). On the northeastern coast of Primorye, the upwelling season is from August to October (November). The common feature of the coastal zone of Primorye is a wind-driven upwelling in autumn (September-October). The interannual variability of winter upwelling along the southern coast of Primorye is related to the East Asia high pressure center (the Siberian High). The upwelling intensifies in the years with positive air pressure anomalies in the Siberian High and weakens in the years with negative anomalies.

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology. 2017;42(3):181-188
pages 181-188 views

Water temperature variations off the Sakhalin coast from the data of instrumental observations

Shevchenko G.V., Kirillov K.V.

Abstract

The data of instrumental observations of water temperature at autonomous bottom stations in the coastal zone of Sakhalin Island (the depth is 3-17 m) mainly along the southeastern coast are analyzed. The cases of sharp (by 15°C per day) temperature drop are detected. They are caused by the strengthening of southern and southwestern winds typtcal of summer and betng the offshore winds which favor the lift of cold water to the surface. This phenomenon is observed every year but its intensity varies depending on the frequency of offshore winds. Along the southwestern coast of Sakhalin, where the offshore effect is induced by northern, northeastern, and eastern winds characterized by the low frequency of occurrence, water temperature drops are rarer and shorter (3-5 days) but rather sharp. The occurrence of cold water (its temperature is sometimes negative) in the shallow coastal zone may lead to the mass mortality of juvenile salmon after its downstream migration in spawning rivers, may impede the approaches of humpback salmon and negatively affect its catch.

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology. 2017;42(3):189-197
pages 189-197 views

Interannual variability of soil moisture in the European part of Russia in summer

Zveryaev I.I., Arkhipkin A.V.

Abstract

Interannual and interdecadal variability of soil moisture in the European part of Russia in summer months is investigated using the data for 1948-2012. It is found that the two first empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs) describe about 50% of total variability of soil moisture. The spatial pattern of the first EOF is indicative of coherent changes in soil moisture in the whole European part of Russia. The second EOF is represented by the meridional dipole with the opposite signs of soil moisture variations in the northern and southern parts of the region. It is revealed that the spatiotemporal pattern of the principal EOFs of soil moisture variability in the European part of Russia almost does not vary during summer that is indicative of the uniform (for each EOF) mechanism of the formation of interan-nual variability of soil moisture.

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology. 2017;42(3):198-203
pages 198-203 views

The climate change effect on probable maximum precipitation in a catchment. A case study of the Karun river catchment in the Shalu bridge site (Iran)

Ramak Z., Porhemmat J., Sedghi H., Fattahi E., Lashni-Zand M.

Abstract

Probable maximum precipitation (PMP) is assessed on the example of the Karun catchment (the Shalu bridge area). The climate change effects on PMP are investigated under three scenarios: A1B, A2, and B1. It is established that the PMP value for 24, 48, and 72 hours is 127, 170, and 185 mm, respectively. It is demonstrated that the PMP value will decrease by up to 5% under A1B scenario, and will increase by up to 5% and 10% under A2 and B1 scenarios, respectively.

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology. 2017;42(3):204-211
pages 204-211 views

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