The climate change effect on probable maximum precipitation in a catchment. A case study of the Karun river catchment in the Shalu bridge site (Iran)


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Abstract

Probable maximum precipitation (PMP) is assessed on the example of the Karun catchment (the Shalu bridge area). The climate change effects on PMP are investigated under three scenarios: A1B, A2, and B1. It is established that the PMP value for 24, 48, and 72 hours is 127, 170, and 185 mm, respectively. It is demonstrated that the PMP value will decrease by up to 5% under A1B scenario, and will increase by up to 5% and 10% under A2 and B1 scenarios, respectively.

About the authors

Z. Ramak

Science and Research Branch

Author for correspondence.
Email: z_ramak@yahoo.com
Iran, Islamic Republic of, Shohadayehesarak blvd., University sq., Tehran

J. Porhemmat

Soil Conservation and Watershed Management Research Institute

Email: z_ramak@yahoo.com
Iran, Islamic Republic of, Shahidshafiee Street, Tehran

H. Sedghi

Science and Research Branch

Email: z_ramak@yahoo.com
Iran, Islamic Republic of, Shohadayehesarak blvd., University sq., Tehran

E. Fattahi

Climatological Research Institute

Email: z_ramak@yahoo.com
Iran, Islamic Republic of, Pajoohes blvd., Tehran

M. Lashni-Zand

Agricultural Research

Email: z_ramak@yahoo.com
Iran, Islamic Republic of, Agricultural Garden str., Khoramabad


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