Ecological Niches Modelling of the Most Dangerous Invasive Species Top-100 in Russia: Testing the Hypothesis of Conservatism of Ecological Niches

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Abstract

The concept of ecological niches plays an important role in predicting the potential distribution of species in the invasive range and developing invasion management strategies. To test the hypothesis, we used models of ecological niches of the 100 most dangerous invasive species of Russia. Our results show that invasive niches occupy a position similar to native niches in the space of predictor variables and there is a very limited expansion of niches. The results generally support the niche conservatism hypothesis. We also found important exceptional cases of rejection of this hypothesis. The key mechanisms governing the persistence of niche increase our confidence in availability species distribution models to predict the response of species in the framework of ongoing of global climate change.

About the authors

V. G. Petrosyan

Severtsov Institute of Ecology and Evolution, RAS

Author for correspondence.
Email: petrosyan@sevin.ru
Russia, 119071, Moscow, Leninsky pr., 33

F. A. Osipov

Severtsov Institute of Ecology and Evolution, RAS

Email: petrosyan@sevin.ru
Russia, 119071, Moscow, Leninsky pr., 33

I. Yu. Feneva

Severtsov Institute of Ecology and Evolution, RAS

Email: petrosyan@sevin.ru
Russia, 119071, Moscow, Leninsky pr., 33

N. N. Dergunova

Severtsov Institute of Ecology and Evolution, RAS

Email: petrosyan@sevin.ru
Russia, 119071, Moscow, Leninsky pr., 33

L. A. Khlyap

Severtsov Institute of Ecology and Evolution, RAS

Email: petrosyan@sevin.ru
Russia, 119071, Moscow, Leninsky pr., 33

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