PROBABILISTIC APPROACH IN MODELING SLOPE STABILITY – IMPLEMENTATION AND FEATURES

O. V. Zerkal; Зеркаль О. В.; I. K. Fomenko; Фоменко И. К.; E. N. Samarin; Самарин Е. Н.

doi:10.31857/S0869780923060103

PROBABILISTIC APPROACH IN MODELING SLOPE STABILITY – IMPLEMENTATION AND FEATURES

Authors: Zerkal O.V.¹, Fomenko I.K.², Samarin E.N.¹
Affiliations:
1. Lomonosov Moscow State University
2. S.Ordzhonikidzе Russian State University for Geological Prospecting
Issue: No 6 (2023)
Pages: 26-38
Section: МОДЕЛИ В ИНЖЕНЕРНОЙ ГЕОЛОГИИ И ГИДРОГЕОЛОГИИ
URL: https://journals.rcsi.science/0869-7809/article/view/233673
DOI: https://doi.org/10.31857/S0869780923060103
EDN: https://elibrary.ru/CSXLVU
ID: 233673

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Abstract
About the authors
References
Supplementary files
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Abstract

The limitations of the existing deterministic approaches to the quantitative assessment of slope stability are analyzed. The basic principles of probabilistic analysis in mathematical simulation of slope stability are considered. The possibility of obtaining probabilistic assessment of the development of landslide deformations is shown, which can later be used in the analysis of geological risk. An assessment of the objectivity of probabilistic modeling of slope stability is carried out.

Keywords

simulation, probabilistic slope stability analysis, landslides, slope stability assessment, landslide hazard

About the authors

O. V. Zerkal

Lomonosov Moscow State University

Author for correspondence.
Email: igzov@mail.ru
Russia, 119991, Moscow, Leninskie gory 1

I. K. Fomenko

S.Ordzhonikidzе Russian State University for Geological Prospecting

Author for correspondence.
Email: ifolga@gmail.com
Russia, 117997, Moscow, ul. Miklukho-Maklaya 23

E. N. Samarin

Lomonosov Moscow State University

Author for correspondence.
Email: samarinen@mail.ru
Russia, 119991, Moscow, Leninskie gory 1

References

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