NATO defense planning under new military and political conditions

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Abstract

An analysis of the military and political preconditions for the current transformation of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) is presented. The deterioration of relations between Russia and NATO member states, which accelerated with the outbreak of hostilities in Ukraine accompanied by massive supplies of Western weapons systems to Kiev, launched the reconfiguring of the entire system of military and political decision-making and defense planning process in NATO. The alliance is returning to its original mission – countering the “Russian threat” (formerly Soviet), despite the fact that NATO is not declaratively a party to the armed conflict in Ukraine. NATO’s reaction and actions in connection with the Ukrainian crisis and the start of the Special Military Operation (SMO), including the plans of the alliance’s leadership for the future, are analyzed. The simplification of a number of procedures and requirements in the defense planning system of the organization in the short and medium term are noted. The full cycle of NATO defense planning is examined in detail and schematically presented, and a forecast of its further evolution is given.

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About the authors

Sergey K. Oznobishchev

Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Author for correspondence.
Email: serko96@gmail.com
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1623-8529

Candidate of Sciences (History), Head of Sector, Section of Military-Political Analysis and Research Projects, Center for International Security

Russian Federation, 23, Profsoyuznaya Street, Moscow, 117997

Vasily A. Klimov

Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: vasily-klimov@mail.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6910-1075

Candidate of Political Science, Junior Research Fellow, Center for International Security

Russian Federation, 23, Profsoyuznaya Street, Moscow, 117997

References

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Supplementary files

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2. Figure 1. NATO defence planning system

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3. Figure 2. Full NATO defense planning cycle

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