NATO defense planning under new military and political conditions

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Resumo

An analysis of the military and political preconditions for the current transformation of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) is presented. The deterioration of relations between Russia and NATO member states, which accelerated with the outbreak of hostilities in Ukraine accompanied by massive supplies of Western weapons systems to Kiev, launched the reconfiguring of the entire system of military and political decision-making and defense planning process in NATO. The alliance is returning to its original mission – countering the “Russian threat” (formerly Soviet), despite the fact that NATO is not declaratively a party to the armed conflict in Ukraine. NATO’s reaction and actions in connection with the Ukrainian crisis and the start of the Special Military Operation (SMO), including the plans of the alliance’s leadership for the future, are analyzed. The simplification of a number of procedures and requirements in the defense planning system of the organization in the short and medium term are noted. The full cycle of NATO defense planning is examined in detail and schematically presented, and a forecast of its further evolution is given.

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Sobre autores

Sergey Oznobishchev

Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Autor responsável pela correspondência
Email: serko96@gmail.com
ORCID ID: 0000-0002-1623-8529

Candidate of Sciences (History), Head of Sector, Section of Military-Political Analysis and Research Projects, Center for International Security

Rússia, 23, Profsoyuznaya Street, Moscow, 117997

Vasily Klimov

Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: vasily-klimov@mail.ru
ORCID ID: 0000-0002-6910-1075

Candidate of Political Science, Junior Research Fellow, Center for International Security

Rússia, 23, Profsoyuznaya Street, Moscow, 117997

Bibliografia

  1. Aleksandr Konovalov. Naslediye [Alexander Konovalov. Legacy] (2021) Ed(s): S.K. Oznobishchev, V.A. Klimov. Moscow: IE Pakhomova E.A. 508 p. (In Russ.).
  2. Baranovsky V. (2021) Mezhdunarodnyy landshaft: epokha peremen. Izbrannaya analitika [International Landscape: The Age of Change. Selected Analyses]. Moscow: Ves’ Mir. 715 p. (In Russ.).
  3. Gromyko A. (2021) Sub’ektnost’ Evrosoyuza ‒ mezhdu atlantizmom i evropocentrizmom [Subjectivity of the European Union – Between Atlanticism and Eurocentrism]. Sovremennaya Evropa. no. 4, pp. 10–26. (In Russ.).
  4. Nikitin A. (2020) Tendencii voenno-politicheskogo razvitiya i voenno-tekhnicheskogo sotrudnichestva stran Evrosoyuza [Trends in Military-political Development and Military-technical Cooperation of the European Union Countries]. Aktual’nye problemy Evropy. no. 4, pp. 53–74. (In Russ.).
  5. Oznobishchev S. (2022) Dinamika otnosheniy Rossiya – NATO i novaya strategicheskaya kontseptsiya al’yansa [Dynamics of Russia-NATO Relations and the New Strategic Concept of the Alliance] In: Yezhegodnik SIPRI 2021: Vooruzhenia, razorushenie i mezhdunarodnaya bezopasnost. Moscow: IMEMO RAN. 964 p. Pp. 843–854 (In Russ.).
  6. Perry W.J. (2015) My Journey at the Nuclear Brin. Redwood City: Stanford University Press. 234 p.
  7. Toal G. (2017) Near Abroad: Putin, the West, and the Contest over Ukraine and the Caucasus. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press. 387 p.

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2. Figure 1. NATO defence planning system

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3. Figure 2. Full NATO defense planning cycle

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Declaração de direitos autorais © Russian Academy of Sciences, 2024

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