Entropy, Seismicity Monitoring in the Armenian Highlands and Dynamics of the Akhurian Reservoir Filling

Abstract

The Armenian seismic system, which has a threshold magnitude of 6.2, has been identified based on the method of seismic entropy, makes it possible to monitor nucleation of strong earthquakes in the magnitude range of 6.2 ≤ M < 6.6, as well as to assess the seismic situation in Armenia and neighboring countries. A study of energy and track diagrams has revealed a fan-shaped tectonic pattern of stress concentrations with an apex in the Kurdistan knot. The analysis of entropy accumulation in seismic cycles carried out for the hierarchy of seismic systems of the Armenian Highlands helped in the identification of prognostic criteria. The results have been compared to the dynamics of Akhurian reservoir filling in 1983–2016.