Modeling futures price dynamics on the RTS and MICEX indices


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Abstract

Reasons for the substantial differences of historical and theoretical futures prices on RTS and MICEX indices are investigated. A model is proposed that considers the observed differences for the modeling of futures prices within the risk assessment of a portfolio of derivatives using the Monte Carlo method.

About the authors

D. Yu. Golembiovsky

Faculty of Computational Mathematics and Cybernetics

Author for correspondence.
Email: golemb@cs.msu.su
Russian Federation, Moscow, 119991

D. V. Denisov

Faculty of Computational Mathematics and Cybernetics

Email: golemb@cs.msu.su
Russian Federation, Moscow, 119991

A. S. Petrovykh

Faculty of Computational Mathematics and Cybernetics

Email: golemb@cs.msu.su
Russian Federation, Moscow, 119991

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