Proinflammatory laboratory predictors of pneumonia in ischemic stroke patients: prospective study

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Abstract

Background. Bacterial pneumonia is a frequent complication of ischemic stroke at the hospital stage. The search for prognostic laboratory markers of pneumonia remains an urgent task, as it will allow to individualize the approach to the treatment and rehabilitation of such patients.

Aim. To investigate the prognostic significance of proteins of the acute phase of inflammation, as well as to evaluate them as early predictors of the development of pneumonia in patients with ischemic stroke.

Materials and methods. The study included 302 patients in the acute period of ischemic stroke. C-reactive protein (CRP), tumor necrosis factor α, interleukin-6 (IL-6), neutrophil elastase, neopterin, serum amyloid A (SAA), secreted phospholipase type 2 (sPLA2) were determined in all patients on the first day by enzyme immunoassay. Statistical data processing was carried out using SPSS and Microsoft Excel software (USA).

Results. At the hospital stage, pneumonia developed in 82/302 patients (27.2%; 95% confidence interval 22.3–32.3%). The levels of CRP, IL-6, sPLA2, SAA and neopterin significantly differed in the presence and absence of pneumonia. Step-by-step logistic regression analysis revealed the significance of IL-6 and CRP concentrations in the prognosis of pneumonia. The threshold value of IL-6 concentration was 3.45 pg/ml (sensitivity – 82.4%, specificity – 66.7%). The prognostic value of a positive result (PPR) in the prognosis of pneumonia was 40%, a negative result (PNR) – 92%. The threshold value of CRP was 1640 mg/l with a sensitivity of 65.8% and a specificity of 74.8%. The PPR of the threshold value of the concentration of CRP was 45%, PNR – 80%.

Conclusion. The measurement of the concentration of IL-6 and CRP on the first day of ischemic stroke makes it possible to identify patients with the greatest risk of pneumonia at the hospital stage. The results of the work indicate the necessity to include CRP and IL-6 in the list of mandatory laboratory tests that should be carried out for each patient with ischemic stroke on the first day from the onset of the disease.

About the authors

Anatoly G. Kochetov

Institute of Laboratory Medicine; Pirogov Russian National Research Medical University

Author for correspondence.
Email: ag_kochetov@dpo-ilm.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3632-291X

д-р мед. наук, проф., ректор, проф. каф. фармакологии

Russian Federation, Moscow; Moscow

Olga V. Lyang

People’s Friendship University of Russia (RUDN University); Federal Center of Brain Research and Neurotechnologies

Email: ag_kochetov@dpo-ilm.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1023-5490

д-р мед. наук, доц. каф. госпитальной терапии, зав. отд-нием клинической лабораторной диагностики 

Russian Federation, Moscow; Moscow

Irina A. Zhirova

People’s Friendship University of Russia (RUDN University)

Email: ag_kochetov@dpo-ilm.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6621-2052

канд. мед. наук, доц. каф. госпитальной терапии

Russian Federation, Moscow

Oleg O. Ivoylov

People’s Friendship University of Russia (RUDN University)

Email: ag_kochetov@dpo-ilm.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4684-8440

канд. мед. наук, ассистент каф. госпитальной терапии

Russian Federation, Moscow

Rita R. Politidis

People’s Friendship University of Russia (RUDN University)

Email: ag_kochetov@dpo-ilm.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4228-1694

канд. мед. наук, ассистент каф. госпитальной терапии

Russian Federation, Moscow

Yulia V. Novozhenova

People’s Friendship University of Russia (RUDN University)

Email: ag_kochetov@dpo-ilm.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0003-4295-8172

ассистент каф. госпитальной терапии

Russian Federation, Moscow

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Supplementary files

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2. Fig. 1. Characteristic curve (a) and Kaplan–Meyer risk curves (b) of interleukin-6 concentration for the development of pneumonia.

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3. Fig. 2. Characteristic curve (a) and Kaplan–Meyer risk curves (b) of CRP concentration for the development of pneumonia.

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