Predictive Models for the Risk of Dyslipidemia in Adolescents with Essential Arterial Hypertension

Abstract

Predictive models of comorbidity, dyslipidemic disorders and essential arterial hypertension, in Russian adolescents aged 12 to 18 years (mean 15.48±1.53) were formulated with consideration for biochemical (lipid profiles) and genetic parameters (carrier state of gene polymorphic variants of apolipoprotein genes ApoA1 (-75G/A and +83C/T), ApoB (Ins/Del), ApoC3 (S1/S2), and ApoE (ε2/ε3/ε4). Significant prognostic risk factors for the mentioned comorbid pathologies were lipid metabolism parameters HDL-Ch, LDL-Ch, VLDL-Ch and carrier state of the +83T allele of the ApoA1 gene and Del allele of the ApoB gene. The obtained mathematical model is characterized by high predictive accuracy: the percentage of correct classification or the rate of correct assignment of each participant to the proper group was 96.33%.