The Optimal Majority Threshold as a Function of the Variation Coefficient of the Environment


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Abstract

Within the model of social dynamics determined by collective decisions in a stochastic environment (ViSE model), we consider the case of a homogeneous society consisting of classically rational economic agents (or homines economici, or egoists). We present expressions for the optimal majority threshold and the maximum expected capital increment as functions of the parameters of the environment. An estimate of the rate of change of the optimal threshold at zero is given, which is an absolute constant: \(\left( {\sqrt {2/\pi } - \sqrt {\pi /2} } \right)/2\).

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P. Yu. Chebotarev

Trapeznikov Institute of Control Sciences; Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology; Kotelnikov Institute of Radioengineering and Electronics

Author for correspondence.
Email: pavel4e@gmail.com
Russian Federation, Moscow; Moscow; Moscow

V. A. Malyshev

Trapeznikov Institute of Control Sciences; Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology; Kotelnikov Institute of Radioengineering and Electronics

Email: pavel4e@gmail.com
Russian Federation, Moscow; Moscow; Moscow

Ya. Yu. Tsodikova

Trapeznikov Institute of Control Sciences

Email: pavel4e@gmail.com
Russian Federation, Moscow

A. K. Loginov

Trapeznikov Institute of Control Sciences

Email: pavel4e@gmail.com
Russian Federation, Moscow

Z. M. Lezina

Trapeznikov Institute of Control Sciences

Email: pavel4e@gmail.com
Russian Federation, Moscow

V. A. Afonkin

Trapeznikov Institute of Control Sciences; Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology

Email: pavel4e@gmail.com
Russian Federation, Moscow; Moscow

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