Mathematical model for operational analysis and prediction of outbreaks of klebsiellosis among newborns

The mathematical model of the study of hospital infections outbreaks caused by Klebsiella pneumoniae in the intensive therapy departments of children's hospitals is applied. Using the program it is not difficult to perform calculations connected with estimation and prediction of the number of children diseased and died of hospital infections. The peculiarity of the model involves taking account of some possibilities of bringing klebsiells to the intensive therapy department as well as the realization of the contact way of infection transmission through dirty hands of medical staff