Coal crisis in China: development, mechanism, causes and possible consequences
- Authors: Tseluyko M.S.1
-
Affiliations:
- Institute of Asian and African Studies, Moscow State University, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)
- Issue: Vol 2, No 1 (2023)
- Pages: 55-67
- Section: Original Study Articles
- URL: https://journals.rcsi.science/China_SC/article/view/250043
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.17816/Ch569232
- ID: 250043
Cite item
Full Text
Abstract
This article analyzes the dynamics of coal prices and systemic changes in the coal market in the PRC, revealing the internal Chinese mechanism of the coal crisis that broke out in the PRC in 2020. The data studied and the conclusions obtained in the article refute the widely held view in expert circles, according to which the cause of the coal crisis in China was the rejection of Australian coal. The study was carried out by analyzing a data array on the dynamics of changes in the price of coal for different types of coal and for different regions and provinces of China. In particular, the article is based on data on the dynamics of coal prices in Shaanxi and Hubei.
The results of this research provide useful insight into both the nature of the coal crisis and the patterns of the system of formation of coal prices in the PRC, partially touching on the issue of the integrity of the Chinese coal market. The statistical data referring to the coal prices is viewed through the prism of the concept of a “multi-track” pricing system put forward by M. V. Karpov and, in general, confirms fruitfulness and significance of his theory. Also, the article, based on data from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, shows the commercial practical significance of the findings and the importance of having up-to-date information data on dynamics of coal prices in China.
Full Text
##article.viewOnOriginalSite##About the authors
Maxim S. Tseluyko
Institute of Asian and African Studies, Moscow State University, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)
Author for correspondence.
Email: atharvan@mail.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5396-3386
SPIN-code: 6417-9986
senior lecturer
Russian Federation, MoscowReferences
- Meidan M, Andrews-Speed Ph. China’s power crisis: Long-term goals meet short-term realities. OIES energy comment. The Oxford Institute for energy studies. Nov. 2021.
- Myllyvirta L. Energy policymaking at ‘China speed’: responses to the coal crisis. Oxford Energy Forum. 2022;131:4–8.
- Guowuyuan du cha jiang dianjia you hui zhengce luodi: yixie difang duo ji zhuan gongceng ceng jia jia 、 xubiao yong dian liang 、 dache luan shou fei. Zhonghua renmin gongheguo zhongyang renmin zhengfu [The State Council supervises the implementation of preferential electricity price reduction policies: some places have multi-level transfers of supply and increased prices, falsely marked electricity consumption, and arbitrary charges for rides / Central People's Government of the People's Republic of China]. Available from: http://www.gov.cn/xinwen/2020-10/22/content_5553433.htm (In Chinese)
- China’s power supply is struggling as winter temperatures plunge. Is the ban on Australian coal to blame? ABC News. Available from: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-12-18/china-electricity-power-shortage-hunan-zhejiang-australia-coal/12993418
- China Bans Australian Coal Imports as Political Relations Sour. Bloomberg. Available from: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-12/china-bans-australian-coal-imports-as-political-relations-sour
- China Starts Second Australian Wine Probe as Tensions Mount. Bloomberg. Available from: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-08-31/china-hits-australian-wine-with-second-probe-as-tensions-mount
- Shanxi shengyu linshi nengyuanju: zhuanbian guannian zhaozhun zhengjie qianghua guanli bu duan zhulao mei kuanggao zhiliang fazhan anquan jichu. Guojia kuangshan anquan jianchaju [Energy Bureau of Yulin City, Shaanxi Province: Change concepts, identify the key problem, strengthen management, and continuously build a solid foundation for high-quality development and safety of coal mines / National Mine Safety Supervision Bureau]. Available from: https://www.chinamine-safety.gov.cn/xw/zt/mjjzt2020/yggfjzzf/jyzf/2019nqgmkaqjgjczfgzzthjycl/202004/t20200409_348232.shtml (In Chinese).
- China’s coal hub Shanxi continues to slash overcapacity, close mines. XINHUANET. Available from: http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2020-07/23/c_139235091.htm
- Two border crossings have stopped the passage of non-container goods from Russia to China. Vedomosti. 30.11.2021. Available from: https://www.vedomosti.ru/business/articles/2021/11/30/898356-dva-pogranperehoda (In Russ.)
- Karpov MV. Vicious circle of the “Chinese miracle”. Market reforms in the PRC and the Problem of Adaptive Capacities of Chinese Leninist One-Party State. Moscow; St. Petersburg: Nestor-Istoriya, 2014. 292 p. (In Russ.)
- Zhang Zhongxiang. Energy price reform in China. In: Garnaut R, Ligang Song, Cai Fang, eds. China’s 40 Years of Reform and Development: 1978–2018. Australian National University Press, 2018. P:509–524. doi: 10.22459/CYRD.07.2018.
Supplementary files
