Reaction of African stocks markets to disequilibrium episodes of the COVID-19 infection: Evidence from the top hit African countries
- Authors: Mamman S.O.1, Iliyasu J.2, Sanusi A.R.2
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Affiliations:
- Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University
- ABU, Business School, Ahmadu Bello University
- Issue: Vol 30, No 3 (2022): Global Economy: Actual Problems
- Pages: 329-342
- Section: ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL TRENDS: POST-COVID-19 DEVELOPMENT
- URL: https://journals.rcsi.science/2313-2329/article/view/324177
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.22363/2313-2329-2022-30-3-329-342
- ID: 324177
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Abstract
The continued COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on the global economy, with countries battling to contain the infection’s spread as it continues to affect nearly every country in the globe. We test for possible explosive behavior (excessive disequilibrium) in COVID-19 infection in the top African impacted economies, given the sensitivity and fragility of stock markets to shocks. The study identifies two (2) separate explosive occurrences in Algeria and Egypt using the Generalized Sup Augmented DickeyFuller (GSADF) test. Furthermore, the study examines the influence of the COVID-19 infection’s explosive behavior on the stock markets of the countries, taking into consideration the disequilibrium occurrences. The COVID-19 infection’s explosive behavior had a negative but insignificant effect on stock returns, leading to an increase in riskiness. This outcome could be explained by the fact that the explosive incidents were transitory and could only have had a momentary impact on stock market returns absorbable overtime. More so, it suggests that investors may have adjusted to the shock of the COVID-19 infection prior to the two explosive occurrences, and that the development of the COVID-19 vaccine reassures for a near halt to the pandemic.
Keywords
About the authors
Suleiman O. Mamman
Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University
Author for correspondence.
Email: onimisism@gmail.com
ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3204-0595
PhD Student, Graduate School of Economics and Management
19 Mira St, Yekaterinburg, Sverdlovsk Oblast, 620002, Russian FederationJamilu Iliyasu
ABU, Business School, Ahmadu Bello University
Email: jamnashuha@gmail.com
PhD student, Department of Economics 5M23+7V3, Zaria, 810106, Nigeria
Aliyu Rafindadi Sanusi
ABU, Business School, Ahmadu Bello University
Email: sanusi_ar@yahoo.co.in
PhD student, Department of Economics 5M23+7V3, Zaria, 810106, Nigeria
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