A MODEL FOR DETERMINING THE PROBABILITIES OF FINDING COMBAT CONVOY GUARDS IN STATES OF COUNTERACTION WITH A SABOTAGE AND RECONNAISSANCE GROUP

A model for determining the probabilities of finding a combat guard (CG) in the states
of countering a sabotage and reconnaissance group (SRG) during its attack on a convoy is proposed on the basis of using a Markov process with a discrete number of states and continuous time. The coupling equations for solving the system of ordinary differential equations (SODE) are obtained. The system of equations is solved by numerical Runge-Kutta method of the 4th order of accuracy in Mathcad environment. Under the condition of stationarity of the process of combat countermeasures against the BW of the SRG convoy and the transformation of the SODE, analytical dependencies for determining the probabilities of finding the CG in the considered states in the conditions of countermeasures against the enemy are obtained.