IMPLEMENTATION OF PREDICTIVE EXPERTISE WITHIN INDUSTRY FORESIGHT STRATEGY

Background. The article substantiates the relevance of industry foresight strategizing for the oil and gas complex of Russia, as for one of the key sectors of the domestic economy. Problems in the implementation of predictive vision are indicated, such as a high degree of inertia and complexity of the object under consideration, and the insufficiency of theoretical and methodological tools for the formation of predictive parameters. The importance of using expert surveys when implementing strategic foresight sessions is discussed. The author saw the purpose of the research as searching for an evidentiary basis for choosing the vector of strategic development of the domestic oil and gas complex and confirming the presence of inertia in the thinking of experts. Materials and methods. The study was carried out using the Google Forms technology platform by posting on this platform the author’s survey “The Future of the Russian Oil and Gas Complex” and receiving responses from respondents, who were employees of industry companies, as well as representatives of scientific and educational organizations and institutions. Results. As a result of the study, structured answers were obtained to key questions about the prospects and opportunities for the development of the oil and gas complex, regarding the horizon of its existence, the reasons for the crisis and possible stagnation, and the role in the implementation of the sustainable development agenda. Conclusions. The results obtained can be used as reasoned constituent justifications in the development of industry strategic documents and serve as the basis for further development of the theoretical and methodological foundations of strategizing in the oil and gas complex.