Gypsy moth Lymantria dispar L. in the southern Urals: Patterns in population dynamics and modeling

Abstract

The population dynamics of gypsy moths from different habitats of the southern Urals was analyzed. Patterns of cyclic changes in the population density were examined. The conjugation of the time series of gypsy moth population dynamics from different habitats at the territory of the southern Urals was assessed. Relationships between the population density and weather conditions were studied. Based on the results, a statistical model of population dynamics in gypsy moth from the southern Urals was developed. The effects of regulatory and modifying factors on the population dynamics were assessed.