Analysis of enhanced recovery protocol failure for pancreatic surgery
- Authors: Drozdov E.S.1,2, Korotkevich A.G.3, Klokov S.S.4,1, Grishchenko M.Y.1,2
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Affiliations:
- Siberian State Medical University
- Tomsk Regional Oncology Hospital
- Novokuznetsk State Institute for Advanced Training of Doctors Branch of the Federal State Budgetary Educational Institution of Additional Professional Education "Russian Medical Academy of Continuing Professional Education”
- Medical Center of G. K. Zherlov
- Issue: Vol 16, No 2 (2023)
- Pages: 130-139
- Section: Original articles
- URL: https://journals.rcsi.science/2070-478X/article/view/233100
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.18499/2070-478X-2023-16-2-130-139
- ID: 233100
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Abstract
Introduction. Enhanced recovery protocols (ERP) after surgery are evidence-based perioperative management programs aimed at reducing the response to surgical stress and accelerating recovery. These protocols have shown their effectiveness in various surgical sections, including surgical pancreatology. However, in some patients who have undergone pancreatic surgery, these protocols are not effective.
The aim of the study was to analyse risk factors for ERP failure during pancreatic surgery, and to develop a predictive model for assessing the risk of ERP failure.
Material and methods. A retrospective - prospective two-center study included 122 patients who underwent surgical interventions on the pancreas. ERP was considered unsuccessful if one or more of the following signs were found in a patient: the duration of postoperative hospitalization exceeding 14 days, in-hospital or 30-day mortality, readmission within 30 days. Patients included in the study were divided into two groups: 1) patients who did not have signs of ERP failure - the enhanced recovery group (ER), 2) patients who had signs of ERP failure (non-ER group). The authors evaluated clinical factors that might be associated with the risk of ERP failure.
Results. The non-ER group included 46 patients. Univariate and multivariate logistic analysis allowed specifying independent risk factors for ERP failure: age over 70 years (p=0.01), presence of sarcopenia (odds ratio (OR) 4.75, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.7 - 11.9, p=0.01), ASA III score (OR 1.8, 95% CI 1.1 - 2.6, p=0.04), density of the pancreas parenchyma (OR 5.9, 95 % CI 1.8 – 15.4, p<0.01). To develop a score for the risk of ERP failure, each feature was empirically assigned points from 1 to 3 taking into account its severity (the odds ratio value). With a score of ≥ 4, the risk of ERP failure was assessed as high, with a score < 4, the risk of ERP failure was assessed as low. The sensitivity, specificity and overall accuracy of the developed model were 84.8%, 82.9% and 83.6%, respectively.
Conclusions. Based on the study results, the authors developed a scoring prognostic model to evaluate the risk of ERP failure in patients exposed to pancreatic surgery. This model can be used to stratify patients according to their risk of ERP failure (high or low
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##article.viewOnOriginalSite##About the authors
Evgenij Sergeevich Drozdov
Siberian State Medical University; Tomsk Regional Oncology Hospital
Email: johnacro@list.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0003-4157-9744
SPIN-code: 4023-0766
Scopus Author ID: 57207959761
ResearcherId: AAQ-4653-2020
Physician of Tomsk Regional Oncology Hospital; assistant of department of Surgery with the Course of Mobilization Training and Medicine of Accidents
Russian Federation, 634050, Russia, Tomsk, Moskovsky tract, 2; 634009, Russia, Tomsk, Lenin Ave., 115Aleksej Grigor'evich Korotkevich
Novokuznetsk State Institute for Advanced Training of Doctors Branch of the Federal State Budgetary Educational Institution of Additional Professional Education "Russian Medical Academy of Continuing Professional Education”
Email: alkorot@mail.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6286-8193
SPIN-code: 6347-7986
Scopus Author ID: 7003750974
ResearcherId: Korotkevich
professor of the department
Russian Federation, Russia, 654005, Kemerovo region, Novokuznetsk, Stroiteley avenue, building No. 5Sergej Sergeevich Klokov
Medical Center of G. K. Zherlov; Siberian State Medical University
Email: sergeyklokov@mail.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9913-8496
SPIN-code: 5216-6434
Scopus Author ID: 6603030729
Doctor; Assistant Professor of the Department of Surgery with the Course of Mobilization Training and Medicine of Accidents
Russian Federation, 636013, Tomsk region, Seversk, per. Chekist, 3; Moscow tract, 2, Tomsk, Tomsk region, 634050Maksim YUr'evich Grishchenko
Siberian State Medical University; Tomsk Regional Oncology Hospital
Author for correspondence.
Email: grishenko83@mail.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0961-7336
SPIN-code: 2548-9991
Scopus Author ID: 57220270200
ResearcherId: AAI-6465-2021
Physician of Tomsk Regional Oncology Hospital; associate professor of department of Surgery with the Course of Mobilization Training and Medicine of Accidents
Russian Federation, 634050, Russia, Tomsk, Moskovsky tract, 2; 634009, Russia, Tomsk, Lenin Ave., 115References
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