Гибкая разработка дорожных карт как адаптивный подход к технологическому Форсайту

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Технологические дорожные карты традиционно рассматриваются как один из ключевых инструментов Форсайта для разработки политики в области науки, технологий и инноваций. Однако интеграция результатов Форсайт-проектов в стратегии организаций и компаний остается ограниченной. В статье предлагается метод совершенствования дорожных карт, повышающий качество и достоверность их содержания, что существенно расширит их влияние на принятие стратегических решений. Анализируются возможности использования методологии дорожных карт для учета сложных аспектов инновационной системы или отрасли при разработке стратегии развития. В модернизированных дорожных картах появляется возможность охватить в целостности колоссальный массив релевантных данных, проработать их в итеративном и гибком режиме с применением новых визуальных приемов. Обнаруживаются важные пробелы в знаниях, потенциальные источники ошибок и риски попадания в «эффект колеи», открываются возможности для свое­временного осмысления возникающих технологических траекторий. Предлагаются направления дальнейших исследований для корректировки рассматриваемого подхода, обеспечения гибкости Форсайт-процессов.

Об авторах

Оуэн О’Салливан

Кембриджский университет

Email: eo252@cam.ac.uk
17 Charles Babbage Rd, Cambridge CB3 0FS, UK

Роб Фааль

Кембриджский университет

Email: rp108@cam.ac.uk
17 Charles Babbage Rd, Cambridge CB3 0FS, UK

Чарльз Фезерстон

Управление науки Правительства Великобритании

Автор, ответственный за переписку.
Email: charles.r.featherston@gmail.com
10 Victoria Street, London, SW1H 0NN, UK

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