Volume 24, Nº 4 (2024)
Articles
ARCTIC WATER CURRENT IN THE BEAR ISLAND TROUGH
Resumo
We analyzed Conductivity-temperature-depth (CTD) and moored Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler (ADCP) measurements in the western Barents Sea carried out onboard the Russian R/V Akademik Mstislav Keldysh (cruise 68) in July–August 2017. A hydrographic section in the Bear Island Trough has been made. Comparison of water properties in the trough and in the sea has been performed. We compared the tidal currents measured on the mooring with those from the TPXO9 model and found that they are quite close.



SURFACE TRANSPORT OF TECHNICAL WATERS FROM FUKUSHIMA NPP TO THE SOUTH KURIL FISHING ZONE
Resumo
This study explores the potential for the penetration of technical waters from the Fukushima nuclear power plant (Fukushima NPP) into the fishing areas of Russia. Using a Lagrangian approach, which examines the advection of a large number of passive markers simulating waters released from the Fukushima NPP, the typical transport pathways to the South Kuril Islands are investigated, and an estimate of the time of such transport is provided. Calculations are conducted using satellite-derived and modelled velocity fields for the test year from August 24, 2022, to August 24, 2023. This study focuses on the advection of Lagrangian markers and highlights the potential for the rapid arrival of them from the Fukushima NPP into the southern Kuril region. This article emphasizes the importance of considering the seasonal variability in Kuroshio meandering and the impact of local mesoscale vortex advection related to the propagation of Lagrangian markers from the Fukushima NPP.



MAY 11–12 EXTREME SPACE WEATHER EVENTS BRIEF AND DOSE RATE MODEL RESPONSE
Resumo
In this brief paper, we analyze space weather events that occurred on May 11 and 12, 2024, from the perspective of an operational space weather center that provides advisories for civil aviation. One of the key metrics monitored by the center is the radiation dose rate at operational flight altitudes. A model implemented by the center provides the dose rate in real time. The model showed that dangerous levels were momentarily exceeded just above the usual 30,000 feet level during the events. This paper highlights differences in models used by various space weather centers, emphasizing the need for harmonization.



THE GULF STREAM STRUCTURE AND MEANDERING BASED ON THE CTD AND SADCP MEASUREMENTS IN 1989–1990 AND 2014–2015
Resumo
An review of field studies in the Gulf Stream region carried out by the authors in two periods with a break of 25 years is presented to summarize the results. The studies in the early period included hydrographic surveys in the area of a southern meander of the Gulf Stream (1989) and in the area of dividing of a single jet of the current into separate branches: in the Gulf Stream delta (1990). The second, recent, stage includes on-route surveys with SADCP profiler in 2014–2015 while crossing the meandering Gulf Stream at mid-latitudes to study its detailed high-resolution velocity field structure.



SATELLITE-DETECTED ANOMALOUS CHANGES IN PARAMETERS OF VARIOUS GEOPHYSICAL FIELDS DURING EARTHQUAKES OF 6 ≤ M ≤ 7.8 IN TÜRKIYE IN FEBRUARY 2023
Resumo
Research was conducted using satellite data to study variations in parameters of various geophysical fields manifested in the lithosphere, atmosphere, and ionosphere during the preparation and occurrence of destructive earthquakes of 6 ≤ M ≤ 7.8 in Türkiye in February 2023. Precursor manifestations of these seismic events were satellite-detected in the form of anomalies in parameters of various geophysical fields, including: lineament systems, surface skin temperature and surface air temperature, relative humidity, latent heat flux, integrated flux of outgoing longwave radiation, altitude changes in ionospheric electron density, total electron content of the ionosphere, as well as aerosol optical depth. It was found that the anomalies of all studied geophysical fields detected using satellite data manifested most intensively during the period 3–13 days before the onset of seismic events.



FREEZING PATTERNS IN SALINE SOILS: MODELING WITH REGARD TO THE OSMOTIC EFFECT
Resumo
Freezing patterns in a porous soil saturated with a saline solution are investigated with regard to osmotic effects, using a model suggested previously by the authors but in a more general formulation. The results include a numerical and an approximate self-similar analytical solution to a nonlinear problem; description of typical freezing behavior in the presence of osmotic pressure. The modeling results agree well with experimental evidence on freezing of saline clay and sand. The model includes three porous domains with ice (I), thermodynamically equilibrated ice+solution (II), and a liquid saline solution (III) in the pores. The modeling is performed for a simplified case of domains II and III that share a mobile phase boundary where the solution freezes up partially, with heat release.



SOLVING INVERSE MAGNETOMETRY PROBLEMS USING FUZZY LOGIC
Resumo
Integration interpretation of geophysical anomalies is a procedure for extracting geological and geophysical information about the object under study from observed physical fields. Interpretations are closely related to solutions of systems of linear algebraic equations (SLAE), therefore the possibility of the most complete and constructive description of all solutions of SLAE is of particular importance. It will allow you to take into account all additional information about the object and obtain the highest quality interpretation. The paper presents the authors’ results on the constructive description of SLAE solutions and its application to the construction of gravimetric interpretations.



VENDIAN-CAMBRIAN ROCKS OF THE UPPER KALAR GRABEN-SYNCLINE OF THE SOUTHERN PART OF SIBERIAN CRATON: MINERALOGY AND MAJOR ELEMENTS GEOCHEMISTRY
Resumo
The features of the mineral and chemical composition (major elements) of the Vendian-Cambrian rocks of the Silimkun Formation (V-Є1sl), exposed on the western side of the Upper Kalar graben syncline in the southwest of the Aldan shield, are considered. The studied rocks – sandstones and siltstones, belong to arkoses and subarkoses. According to their chemotype, they correspond normosilites and myosilites. In terms of the alkaline modulus, the studied silites are hyperpotassium and serve as a fairly striking example of the products of Precambrian arid weathering. The standard mineral composition, its variations, the validity of calculations based on petrographic research data, the problems of using climate indices and lithochemical diagrams aimed at reconstructing climatic changes in the geological past are discussed. Chemical Index of Alteration (CIA) index values range from 49, which corresponds to a virtually unchanged rock, to 67. The average is about 58. Minor changes in the index value for this sample are associated primarily with variations in the content of illite cement and muscovite. Robust Weathering index (RW) values range from 37 to 68 (with an average of about 57).



ASSESSMENT OF KARST GROUNDWATER VULNERABILITY TO CONTAMINATION AS A TOOL FOR DELINEATION OF SOURCE PROTECTION ZONES: A CASE STUDY IN THE CRIMEAN MOUNTAINS
Resumo
The assessment of groundwater vulnerability to contamination provides a hydrogeological basis for the designation of protection zones for drinking water sources. This paper presents a case study from the Crimean Mountains where karst groundwater plays a primary role in water supply. Groundwater vulnerability assessment has been carried out for two large karst springs: the Ayan and Krasnopeshcherny. For this purpose, a method adapted to the conditions of karst water formation in the region, called the Mountain-Crimean method, was used. The resulting source vulnerability maps of selected test sites demonstrate both similarities and differences. The common feature is the area predominance of the moderate vulnerability class, with a minor share of the low vulnerability class. However, the vulnerability classes on the two catchments have different placement patterns, as does the presence or absence of a high vulnerability class. The catchment area of the Krasnopeshcherny spring appeared to be more sensitive to pollution than the Ayan spring. The main reason is the hydrodynamic conditions of the deep parts of the karst aquifers drained by the springs. The karst aquifer of the Krasnopeshcherny spring has a much higher groundwater flow dynamic than that of the Ayan spring. The study closes by proposing a scheme of transition from vulnerability map to sanitary protection zones for karst water intakes in accordance with the regulatory standards of the Russian Federation.



MERIDIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC HEAT FLUXES AT THE ENTRANCE TO THE ATLANTIC SECTOR OF THE ARCTIC: VERIFICATION OF CMIP6 MODELS AND CLIMATE PROJECTIONS BASED ON THE SELECTED SUB-ENSEMBLES
Resumo
Poleward transports of oceanic and atmospheric heat play an essential role in the Arctic climate system, and their variations in the future will strongly shape the climate of the Arctic. The main aim of this study is to evaluate the performance of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) models in the historical experiment in simulating the meridional heat fluxes into the Atlantic sector of the Arctic. The secondary objective is to estimate the meridional oceanic and atmospheric heat fluxes up to the end of the 21st century using the best sub-ensembles of the CMIP6 models. According to our results, the CMIP6 models poorly reproduce the interannual variability of the heat fluxes in their historical simulations, and the multi-model ensemble mean values are systematically lower than the mean values derived from the Ocean ReAnalysis System 4 (ORAS4) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis version 5 (ERA5) reanalyses. Climate projections based on the selected CMIP6 models indicate that the future Arctic climate will be characterized by the significantly increased oceanic heat transport at the entrance to the Atlantic sector of the Arctic relative to the period 1958–2014. In contrast, the atmospheric heat and moisture transport will not have dramatic differences in the projected Arctic climate relative to the period 1958–2014. Based on the results obtained, we emphasize that any interpretation of future climate simulations should be done with caution.



LOW-MAGNITUDE SEISMICITY OF THE CONTINENT-OCEAN TRANSITION ZONE IN THE EURASIAN ARCTIC
Resumo
A significant increase in the number of seismic stations occurred in the Eurasian Arctic during the late 20th to early 21st century, which led to a decrease in the minimum magnitude of earthquake registration for some Arctic regions. One of the areas that have been until recently poorly studied in terms of low-magnitude seismicity includes the continent-ocean transition zone in the northern Eurasian shelf. An analysis of the monitoring performed using the seismic stations in operation in the Franz Josef Land and Severnaya Zemlya archipelagos complemented with data from the seismic stations on the Svalbard archipelago for the period from December 2011 to November 2020 made it possible to study the space-time patterns in the low magnitude seismicity at the continent-ocean transition zone. The most active features are the Franz Victoria and St. Anna grabens, and the Bely and Victoria High.



MONITORING LAND COVER DYNAMICS AND FOREST DEGRADATION IN SOUTH SUMATRA PEATLANDS FROM 2015 TO 2023 BY REMOTE SENSING APPLICATION
Resumo
Most Peat Hydrological Units (PHU) in South Sumatra, Indonesia, have been threatened by degradation from climate changes, human activities, and environmental factors. This study mapped land cover using Random Forest Classification and identified forest degradation using NDFI (Normalized Difference Forest Index) change analysis in several PHUs of the South Sumatra peatland from 2015 to 2023. We combined Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2, and Landsat-8 data for the land cover classification. Meanwhile, we utilized Landsat-8 to identify forest degradation. Our findings indicate that tree cover significantly decreased in 2015, 2019, and 2023, coinciding with severe drought conditions driven by El Niño events. A significant decrease in forest cover in 2019 was suggested by low tree cover, up to 47.1% of the total area of 1.054 million ha. Therefore, grassland and bare/sparse vegetation had more significant coverage percentages, reaching 22.89% and 11.40%, respectively, in 2019. Deforestation varied but generally decreased from 2015 to 2023, according to the analysis of NDFI changes. Vegetation regrowth increased notably from 2016 to 2020 and remained relatively stable afterward. In addition, forest disturbance decreased from 2015 to 2020 but slightly increased in the last few years. Although two PHUs have encountered more severe degradation, their peatland ecosystems included inside them have distinct characteristics. Specifically, the PHU of Sungai Saleh – Sungai Sugihan encompasses cultivated areas, whereas the PHU of Sungai Sugihan – Sungai Lumpur comprises protected areas. These findings highlight the need for restoration and sustainable land management to prevent further degradation



COMPARATIVE INFLUENCE OF HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PROCESSES ON THE INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY OF SEASONAL FLUCTUATIONS OF THE BALTIC SEA LEVEL
Resumo
With the help of long-term average daily tide gauge observations of sea level, satellite altimetry measurements and data from reanalyses of meteorological and hydrophysical fields, the features and physical mechanisms of interannual variability of seasonal fluctuations in the level of the Baltic Sea are investigated. It is shown that for the period 1889-2022 in Stockholm, in interannual changes in the amplitudes of harmonics Sa, Ssa, Sta, Sqa, there are statistically insignificant positive linear trends, against the background of which long-term cycles with time scales approximately from 20–35 to 55 years and very significant changes in amplitudes from 0.5–1.0 to 25–27 centimeters are observed. In recent decades, the harmonics Sa, Ssa, and Sta have seen a noticeable decrease in the amplitudes and dispersion of oscillations. The results of mutual correlation and multiple regression analyses of anomalies of seasonal fluctuations in sea level and various hydrometeorological processes indicate that the largest contribution to the interannual variability of seasonal fluctuations in sea level is made by changes in the tangential friction of the wind. The second most important processes are changes in atmospheric pressure over the sea and water exchange between the Baltic and North Seas. Changes in freshwater balance and density have the smallest impact on interannual variability in seasonal sea-level patterns.



MODELING THE TRANSPORT AND DEPOSITION OF SUSPENDED SOLIDS UNDER CONDITIONS OF LOW WATER AND SURGE PHENOMENA IN THE DON RIVER ESTUARY AREA
Resumo
An approach is proposed for the joint use of the model implemented in the HEC-RAS software and a balance model to describe the transport and transformation of suspended solids in a river delta. In the river estuary region, hydrological areas are distinguished: channel areas, floodplain areas, flooded during high floods and storm surges from the sea, and the delta front areas. For the hydrological areas, a dynamic model of the balance of water and substances transported by water flow is built. Parameterization of the suspended solids sedimentation processes and their resuspension is introduced depending on the speed of water movement and particle size. Three gradations of suspended solids in size are considered: pelitic fraction (clay), alevrit fraction (silt) and fine sand. The emphasis is on assessing the impact of marine storm surges on the transport of suspended solids into the river delta and their deposition. To describe water flows between areas, movement speeds, level dynamics and floodplain flooding processes, a detailed model based on the HEC-RAS software adapted to the conditions of the Don River estuary area is used. Calculations of the transport and accumulation of suspended solids in the Don River estuary area were carried out for two variants of hydrological conditions – with the water surge from the sea and without it. The spatiotemporal variability of the concentration and granulometric composition of suspended sediment depending on hydrological conditions is considered. It is shown that in the absence of surge phenomena and low water flow rates, suspended solids are mainly deposited in the avandelta outside the sea edge of the delta, and during the surge period they saturate the water and, at the stage of rising its level, enter the delta, partially settling in the branches and in the floodplain areas. At the same time, at the stage of the water level decline, they are carried out of the channel segments beyond the sea edge of the delta, and mostly remain in the floodplain areas. For low-water conditions with the observed frequency of surge events and in the absence of floods, the Don estuary area retains on average 20% of suspended solids entering with the Don River runoff.


