ON AN APPROACH TO ZONING RISKS OF GROUNDWATER PROTECTIVE LAYER FAILURE BASED ON A SET OF GEOPHYSICAL AND GEOTECHNICAL CHARACTERISTICS

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The Verkhnekamsk potassium-magnesium salt deposit (VKSD) is one of the largest in the world. The primary challenge in underground salt mining is maintaining the integrity of the groundwater protective layer, which separates the mined seams from aquifers. In this context, the Verkhnekamsk deposit is mined using a chamber system room-and-pillar method, ensuring the stability of the protective layer through inter-chamber pillars. This paper presents the results of a preliminary analysis of the geological and mining conditions in one of the mines of the Verkhnekamsk deposit. The procedure for forming the initial data set is discussed. Test calculations based on a limited data set were performed, demonstrating the potential of combining artificial neural network algorithms and discrete mathematical analysis. The results achieved on the formed dataset successfully identified hazard classes. Thus, it can be concluded that this technology is fundamentally effective for assessing the risk of groundwater protective layer failure. The proposed approach establishes links between phenomena, their associated risks, and the deformations of underground workings and the Earth's surface, enabling proactive measures to protect mines from flooding.

作者简介

I. Losev

Geophysical Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: i.losev@gcras.ru
ORCID iD: 0009-0005-0785-4986
SPIN 代码: 7963-1926
Scopus 作者 ID: 57214669904
Researcher ID: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Ilia-Losev-2

A. Baryakh

Mining Institute of the Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences

ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2737-6166
Scopus 作者 ID: 6701852821
Researcher ID: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Alexandr-Baryakh
academician Russian Academy of Sciences-2025, doctor of technical sciences-2025

A. Evseev

Mining Institute of the Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences

ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3408-9309
Scopus 作者 ID: 57208449142
Researcher ID: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Alexandr-Baryakh
candidate of technical sciences-2025

A. Kamaev

Geophysical Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences

ORCID iD: 0009-0008-5139-8086
SPIN 代码: 1265-3294
Scopus 作者 ID: 58575401800
Researcher ID: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Artyom-Kamaev

I. Zhukova

PJSC Uralkali

ORCID iD: 0009-0003-5273-9931

A. Manevich

Geophysical Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences

ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7486-6104
SPIN 代码: 6470-0460
Scopus 作者 ID: 57200214238
Researcher ID: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Alexandr-Manevich-2

R. Shevchuk

Geophysical Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences

ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3461-6383
SPIN 代码: 5379-1835
Scopus 作者 ID: 57206721960
Researcher ID: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Roman-Shevchuk-3
candidate of technical sciences 2024-2025

D. Akmatov

Geophysical Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences

ORCID iD: 0000-0001-6435-464X
SPIN 代码: 1687-2529
Scopus 作者 ID: 57207911204
Researcher ID: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Dastan-Akmatov
candidate of technical sciences 2024-2025

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