STUDY OF THE IMPACT OF CLIMATIC CHANGES IN 1980–2021 ON RAILWAY INFRASTRUCTURE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN RUSSIAN ARCTIC BASED ON ADVANCED ELECTRONIC ATLAS OF HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PARAMETERS (VERSION 2, 2023)

Cover Page

Cite item

Full Text

About the authors

A. Gvishiani

Geophysical Center of Russian Academy of Sciences; Schmidt institute of physics of the Earth of the RAS

Email: o.shevaldysheva@gcras.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4874-7475
SPIN-code: 6326-2373
Scopus Author ID: 6602466383

I. Rozenberg

Russian University of Transport (MIIT)

Email: o.shevaldysheva@gcras.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9589-6783

A. Soloviev

Geophysical Center RAS; Schmidt institute of physics of the Earth of the RAS

Email: o.shevaldysheva@gcras.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6476-9471
SPIN-code: 1506-2412

R. Krasnoperov

Geophysical Center of Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: o.shevaldysheva@gcras.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0001-8221-4106

O. Shevaldysheva

Geophysical Center of Russian Academy of Sciences; Lomonosov Moscow State University

Email: o.shevaldysheva@gcras.ru
ORCID iD: 0009-0000-4074-3130

A. Kostianoy

P.P.Shirshov Institute of Oceanology of the Russian Academy of Science

Email: o.shevaldysheva@gcras.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7441-5055

S. Lebedev

Geophysical Center of Russian Academy of Sciences; Maikop State Technological University; National Research University of Electronic Technology

Email: o.shevaldysheva@gcras.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4976-7136
SPIN-code: 7819-0443
Scopus Author ID: 56363527500

I. Dubchak

Russian University of Transport (MIIT)

Email: o.shevaldysheva@gcras.ru

N. Sazonov

Research and Design Institute of Informatization, Automation and Communications in Railway Transport

Email: o.shevaldysheva@gcras.ru

I. Nikitina

Geophysical Center of Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: o.shevaldysheva@gcras.ru
ORCID iD: 0009-0008-6127-4546
SPIN-code: 6451-0693
Scopus Author ID: 57193230095

S. Gvozdik

Geophysical Center of Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: o.shevaldysheva@gcras.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0001-6925-9860

V. Sergeev

Geophysical Center of Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: o.shevaldysheva@gcras.ru
ORCID iD: 0009-0000-6955-2493

G. Gvozdik

Geophysical Center of Russian Academy of Sciences; Lomonosov Moscow State University

Author for correspondence.
Email: o.shevaldysheva@gcras.ru
ORCID iD: 0009-0000-8662-3679

References

  1. –2024 European windstorm season (2023), Wikipedia. The Free Encyclopedia, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023-24_European_windstorm_season, (visited on 09.11.2023).
  2. AMAP (2021), Arctic Climate Change Update 2021: Key Trends and Impacts, Summary for Policy-Makers, 16 pp., Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP), Tromsø, Norway.
  3. Andersson, E., J. Häggström, M. Sima, and S. Stichel (2004), Assessment of train-overturning risk due to strong crosswinds, Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part F: Journal of Rail and Rapid Transit, 218(3), 213–223, https://doi.org/10.1243/0954409042389382.
  4. Baker, C. J., J. Jones, F. Lopez-Calleja, and J. Munday (2004), Measurements of the cross wind forces on trains, Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics, 92(7–8), 547–563, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jweia.2004.03.002.
  5. Baker, C. J., L. Chapman, A. Quinn, and K. Dobney (2009), Climate change and the railway industry: A review, Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part C: Journal of Mechanical Engineering Science, 224(3), 519–528, https://doi.org/10.1243/09544062JMES1558.
  6. Bentamy, A., J. F. Piollé, A. Grouazel, R. Danielson, S. Gulev, F. Paul, H. Azelmat, P. P. Mathieu, K. von Schuckmann, S. Sathyendranath, H. Evers-King, I. Esau, J. A. Johannessen, C. A. Clayson, R. T. Pinker, S. A. Grodsky, M. Bourassa, S. R. Smith, K. Haines, M. Valdivieso, C. J. Merchant, B. Chapron, A. Anderson, R. Hollmann, and S. A. Josey (2017), Review and assessment of latent and sensible heat flux accuracy over the global oceans, Remote Sensing of Environment, 201, 196–218, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2017.08.016.
  7. Bosilovich, M. G., R. Lucchesi, and M. Suarez (2016), MERRA-2: File Specification. GMAO Office Note No. 9 (Version 1.1), http://gmao.gsfc.nasa.gov/pubs/office_notes, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office.
  8. Chen, M., P. Xie, J. E. Janowiak, and P. A. Arkin (2002), Global Land Precipitation: A 50-yr Monthly Analysis Based on Gauge Observations, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 3(3), 249–266, https://doi.org/10.1175/1525-7541(2002)0032.0.CO;2.
  9. Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation (2022), “On approval of the Development Plan of the Northern Sea Route for the period up to 2035” of August 1, 2022, no. 2115-r (in Russian).
  10. Decree of the President of the Russian Federation (2014), “On the land territories of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation” of May 2, 2014 no. 296 (in Russian).
  11. Department of Communications of the State Corporation “Rosatom” (2023), The volume of cargo transported along the Northern Sea Route in 2022 amounted to 34.117 million tons, https://rosatom.ru/journalist/news/obemperevezennykh-gruzov-po-severnomu-morskomu-puti-v-2022-godu-sostavil-34-034-mln-tonn/ (in Russian), (visited on 11.08.2023).
  12. Diedrichs, B., M. Sima, A. Orellano, and H. Tengstrand (2007), Crosswind stability of a high-speed train on a high embankment, Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part F: Journal of Rail and Rapid Transit, 221(2), 205–225, https://doi.org/10.1243/0954409JRRT126.
  13. ESRI ArcMAP (2023), ArcGIS Desktop. A complete suite for desktop GIS, https://www.esri.com/en-us/arcgis/products/ arcgis-desktop/overview, (visited on 03.11.2022).
  14. Gelaro, R., W. McCarty, M. J. Suárez, R. Todling, A. Molod, L. Takacs, C. A. Randles, A. Darmenov, M. G. Bosilovich, R. Reichle, K. Wargan, L. Coy, R. Cullather, C. Draper, S. Akella, V. Buchard, A. Conaty, A. M. da Silva, W. Gu, G.-K. Kim, R. Koster, R. Lucchesi, D. Merkova, J. E. Nielsen, G. Partyka, S. Pawson, W. Putman, M. Rienecker, S. D. Schubert, M. Sienkiewicz, and B. Zhao (2017), The Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2), Journal of Climate, 30(14), 5419–5454, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0758.1.
  15. Geophysical Center of the RAS (2023), Analysis of climate changes based on the atlas of main hydrometeorological parameters of the Central and Western part of the Russian Arctic for the period 1980–2021 and forecast for 2023–2064, Tech. rep. (in Russian).
  16. Golden Software (2023), Surfer. Explore the Depths of Your Data, https://www.goldensoftware.com/products/surfer/, (visited on 01.11.2022).
  17. Gvishiani, A. D., I. N. Rozenberg, A. A. Soloviev, A. G. Kostianoy, S. A. Gvozdik, I. V. Serykh, R. I. Krasnoperov, N. V. Sazonov, I. A. Dubchak, A. B. Popov, E. A. Kostianaia, and G. A. Gvozdik (2023a), Electronic Atlas of Climatic Changes in the Western Russian Arctic in 1950–2021 as Geoinformatic Support of Railway Development, Applied Sciences, 13(9), 5278, https://doi.org/10.3390/app13095278.
  18. Gvishiani, A. D., I. N. Rozenberg, A. A. Soloviev, A. G. Kostianoy, S. A. Gvozdik, I. V. Serykh, R. I. Krasnoperov, N. V. Sazonov, I. A. Dubchak, A. B. Popov, E. A. Kostianaia, and G. A. Gvozdik (2023b), Atlas of climatic changes of the main hydrometeorological parameters of the western part of the Russian Arctic for the period 1950–2021, Geophysical Center RAS, https://doi.org/10.2205/2023-atlas-cc.
  19. Holm, E. V. (2003), Revision of the ECMWF humidity analysis: Construction of a Gaussian control variable, in ECMWF/GEWEX Workshop on Humidity Analysis, 8–11 July 2002, pp. 1–6, ECMWF.
  20. Kattsov, V. M. (Ed.) (2022), Roshydromet: Third assessment report on climate change and its consequences on the territory of the Russian Federation, 124 pp., Naukoyemkie Technologii, St. Petersburg (in Russian), https://www.meteorf.gov.ru/upload/pdf_download/compressed.pdf.
  21. Kostianaia, E. A., and A. G. Kostianoy (2023), Railway Transport Adaptation Strategies to Climate Change at High Latitudes: A Review of Experience from Canada, Sweden and China, Transport and Telecommunication Journal, 24(2), 180–194, https://doi.org/10.2478/ttj-2023-0016.
  22. Kostianaia, E. A., A. G. Kostianoy, M. A. Scheglov, A. I. Karelov, and A. S. Vasileisky (2021), Impact of Regional Climate Change on the Infrastructure and Operability of Railway Transport, Transport and Telecommunication Journal, 22(2), 183–195, https://doi.org/10.2478/ttj-2021-0014.
  23. Krivovichev, S. (2019), Editorial for Special Issue «Arctic Mineral Resources: Science and Technology», Minerals, 9(3), 192, https://doi.org/10.3390/min9030192.
  24. Lebedev, S., A. Kostianoy, and I. Tretiyak (2023), Temporal Variability of Soil Temperature in the North-West Arctic Zone of Russia. Part I: Interannual Linear Trends Based on Thermometer Measurements and Reanalysis Data, Russian Journal of Earth Sciences, 23, https://doi.org/10.2205/2023ES02SI12.
  25. List of European windstorms (2023), Wikipedia. The Free Encyclopedia, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_European_windstorms, (visited on 29.10.2023).
  26. Luo, B., P. J. Minnett, M. Szczodrak, N. R. Nalli, and V. R. Morris (2020), Accuracy Assessment of MERRA-2 and ERAInterim Sea Surface Temperature, Air Temperature, and Humidity Profiles over the Atlantic Ocean Using AEROSE Measurements, Journal of Climate, 33(16), 6889–6909, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0955.1.
  27. Ma, H., J. Zeng, X. Zhang, P. Fu, D. Zheng, J.-P. Wigneron, N. Chen, and D. Niyog (2021), Evaluation of six satellite- and model-based surface soil temperature datasets using global ground-based observations, Remote Sensing of Environment, 264, 112,605, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2021.112605.
  28. Makarova, I., L. Gubacheva, D. Makarov, and P. Buyvol (2021), Economic and environmental aspects of the development possibilities for the northern sea route, Transportation Research Procedia, 57, 347–355, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trpro.2021.09.060.
  29. McCarty, W., L. Coy, R. Gelaro, A. Huang, D. Merkova, E. B. Smith, M. Sienkiewicz, and K. Wargan (2016), MERRA-2 Input Observations: Summary and Assessment. NASA Technical Report Series on Global Modeling and Data Assimilation, https://gmao.gsfc.nasa.gov/pubs/docs/McCarty885.pdf (visited on 06.11.2022).
  30. Pashchenko, L. V., and V. I. Potapenko (2016), The struggle against snow bank at railway, in Collection of scientific works of DonIZHT, pp. 22–33, DonIZHT (in Russian).
  31. Poli, P., H. Hersbach, D. Tan, D. P. Dee, J.-N. Thépaut, A. Simmons, C. Peubey, P. Laloyaux, T. Komori, P. Berrisford, R. Dragani, Y. Trémolet, E. Hólm, M. Bonavita, L. Isaksen, and M. Fisher (2013), The data assimilation system and initial performance evaluation of the ECMWF pilot reanalysis of the 20th-century assimilating surface observations only (ERA-20C). ERA Report Series No. 14, https://www.ecmwf.int/en/elibrary/76007-data-assimilation-system-andinitial-performance-evaluation-ecmwf-pilot.
  32. Rachoy, C., and M. Spazierer (2008), Meteorological information and warning system for railway infrastructure decision support for natural hazards management, in Proceedings of the World Congress on Rail Research, International Railway Research Board (IRRB), Seoul, Korea. Reichle, R. H., R. D.
  33. Koster, G. J. M. de Lannoy, B. A. Forman, Q. Liu, S. P. P. Mahanama, and A. Touré (2011), Assessment and Enhancement of MERRA Land Surface Hydrology Estimates, Journal of Climate, 24(24), 6322–6338, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-10-05033.1.
  34. Romanenko, F. A., and O. A. Shilovtseva (2016), Geomorphological processes in the mountains of the Kola Peninsula and climate change, Moscow University Bulletin. Series 5. Geography, (6), 78–86 (in Russian), https://vestnik5.geogr.msu.ru/jour/article/view/261.
  35. Schubert, S. D., Y. Chang, A. M. DeAngelis, R. D. Koster, Y.-K. Lim, and H. Wang (2022), Exceptional Warmth in the Northern Hemisphere during January–March of 2020: The Roles of Unforced and Forced Modes of Atmospheric Variability, Journal of Climate, 35(8), 2565–2584, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0291.1.
  36. Serykh, I. V., A. G. Kostianoy, S. A. Lebedev, and E. A. Kostianaia (2022), On the transition of temperature regime of the White Sea Region to a new phase state, Fundamental and Applied Hydrophysics, 15(1), 98–111, https://doi.org/10.48612/fpg/k9x4-p8fz-5kz6.
  37. Tilinina, N., S. K. Gulev, I. Rudeva, and P. Koltermann (2013), Comparing Cyclone Life Cycle Characteristics and Their Interannual Variability in Different Reanalyses, Journal of Climate, 26(17), 6419–6438, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLID-12-00777.1.
  38. Vasiliev, A. A., D. S. Drozdov, A. G. Gravis, G. V. Malkova, K. E. Nyland, and D. A. Streletskiy (2020), Permafrost degradation in the Western Russian Arctic, Environmental Research Letters, 15(4), 045,001, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab6f12.
  39. Vishnevsky, E. P., and G. V. Chepurin (2010), The need for air drying and assessment of moisture surplus, Plumbing. Heating. Conditioning. Energy Efficiency, 4 (in Russian), https://www.c-o-k.ru/articles/neobhodimost-osusheniyavozduha-i-ocenka-proficita-vlagi
  40. Yakubovich, A. N., and I. A. Yakubovich (2019), Forecasting climate change impact on the functionality of the transport infrastructure of the cryolith zone of Russia, Intelligence. Innovations. Investment, (1), 104–110, https://doi.org/10.25198/2077-7175-2019-1-104 (in Russian).

Copyright (c) 2023 Gvishiani A., Rozenberg I., Soloviev A., Krasnoperov R., Shevaldysheva O., Kostianoy A., Lebedev S., Dubchak I., Sazonov N., Nikitina I., Gvozdik S., Sergeev V., Gvozdik G.

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

This website uses cookies

You consent to our cookies if you continue to use our website.

About Cookies