Email this article Extreme Level Fluctuations in the Seas of the Russian Arctic in the Context of Global Climate Change
- Authors: Medvedev I.P.1, Kulikov M.E.1, Kulikov E.A.1, Medvedeva A.Y.1, Yakovenko O.I.1, Smirnova D.A.1
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Affiliations:
- Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, RAS
- Issue: Vol 114, No 2 (2022): THEMED SECTION: UNITED NATIONS DECADE OF OCEAN SCIENCES FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT (2021 to 2030)
- Pages: 84-101
- Section: THEMED SECTION: FUNDAMENTAL SCIENTIFIC RESEARCH IN THE FIELD OF NATURAL SCIENCES
- URL: https://journals.rcsi.science/1605-8070/article/view/304100
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.22204/2410-4639-2022-114-02-84-101
- ID: 304100
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Abstract
The presented article is devoted to the results of detailed studies of the features of extreme sea level fluctuations in the Russian Arctic under the conditions of global climate change. Estimates of the rate of mean sea level rise in the Arctic are obtained from the monthly mean sea level data at coastal tide gauges and satellite altimetry. It was found that for the Arctic Ocean coast from the Kara to the Chukchi Seas, the highest tides take place in the Khatanga Bay (Preobrazheniya Island), 131 cm. In the White, Kara, Laptev and Chukchi Seas, the seasonal variability of harmonic tidal constants was studied; it occurs due to changes in hydrometeorological conditions during the year. The ADCIRC hydrodynamic model was adapted for the conditions of the Laptev Sea. Numerical modeling of sea level oscillations from 1980 to 2000 was performed. According to the simulation results, the maximum ranges of residual sea level fluctuations are observed both for the total level and at the mouth of the Khatanga (489 cm) and Oleneksky Bay (444 cm). Based on the data of coastal observations and numerical modeling, the authors obtained estimates of extreme level fluctuations with different recurrence periods.
About the authors
Igor P. Medvedev
Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, RAS
Author for correspondence.
Email: medvedev@ocean.ru
Russian Federation, 36 Nakhimovsky Ave., Moscow, 117997, Russia
Mikhail E. Kulikov
Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, RAS
Email: meksonesk@gmail.com
Russian Federation, 36 Nakhimovsky Ave., Moscow, 117997, Russia
Evgueny A. Kulikov
Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, RAS
Email: meksonesk@gmail.com
Russian Federation, 36 Nakhimovsky Ave., Moscow, 117997, Russia
Alisa Yu. Medvedeva
Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, RAS
Email: Alisa.bannikova@gmail.com
Russian Federation, 36 Nakhimovsky Ave., Moscow, 117997, Russia
Olga I. Yakovenko
Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, RAS
Email: tsucen@ocean.ru
Russian Federation, 36 Nakhimovsky Ave., Moscow, 117997, Russia
Daria A. Smirnova
Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, RAS
Email: dasha@a-smirnov.com
Russian Federation, 36 Nakhimovsky Ave., Moscow, 117997, Russia
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