Prediction of Safety Level of Low-Head and Ownerless Hydraulic Structures
- Authors: Volkov V.I.1, Snezhko V.L.1, Kozlov D.V.2
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Affiliations:
- Russian State Agrarian University, Timiryazev MTAA
- Moscow State Civil Engineering University (national university)
- Issue: Vol 53, No 1 (2019)
- Pages: 23-28
- Section: Article
- URL: https://journals.rcsi.science/1570-145X/article/view/246359
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10749-019-01028-6
- ID: 246359
Cite item
Abstract
Methods of systems reliability theory are applied to the results of an expert inspection of more than 1000 low-head hydraulic power systems in the Moscow region. The rates of failure of homogeneous earth dams are estimated. A state graph of a hydraulic structure, represented as a system that passes through discrete states from a normal to a dangerous level without maintenance or repair, is proposed. The constant failure rates for these states are calculated. The probabilistic characteristics of the safety level of low-head earth dams are predicted.
About the authors
V. I. Volkov
Russian State Agrarian University, Timiryazev MTAA
Author for correspondence.
Email: volcov_vi45@mail.ru
Russian Federation, Moscow
V. L. Snezhko
Russian State Agrarian University, Timiryazev MTAA
Email: volcov_vi45@mail.ru
Russian Federation, Moscow
D. V. Kozlov
Moscow State Civil Engineering University (national university)
Email: volcov_vi45@mail.ru
Russian Federation, Moscow