Forecast of qualitative and quantitative characteristics of external labor migration in Russia using foresight

Аннотация

This paper provides a long-term forecast of the qualitative and quantitative characteristics of the external labor migration in Russia up to 2050. The author appeals to the unique experience of the United Kingdom in migration forecasting using foresight. The author has proposed a mini-foresight methodology, which made it possible to identify global trends that affect migration policy in the future, and has systematized peer reviews of the future migration background in Russia up to 2050.